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Monday, August 15, 2011

Palin Ties For Lead in PPP N.Carolina Poll,Wins Straw Polls Handily,Bachmann Drifts Off the Pace Again

Firstly Palin ties for the lead in North Carolina in a new poll from PPP (D) polling whilst Bachmann heads out the back door-the +/- speaks for itself. Thanks to Techno at Conservatives4Palin for the analysis. This result is without her being a declared candidate of course,which shows her latent strength.It is a given that if she declared her support level must rise further.

PPP North Carolina poll results (today's poll vs July 28/2011) and net difference:

                                PALIN               ROMNEY         BACHMANN       PERRY

OVERALL

7/28                        12                         18                        17                    14

8/15                        17                         17                         9                     17

NET                        +5                        -1                          -8                    +3

MODERATE

7/28                         13                       20                       19                     2

8/15                         13                       30                      10                      7

NET                         0                       +10                      -9                    +5

SOMEWH CONS

7/28                       12                       20                        15                  14

8/15                       14                       18                        7                    21

NET                       +2                      -2                         -8                   +7

VERY CONS

7/28                     12                       17                       19                   19

8/15                     22                       11                       10                   20

NET                     +10                     -6                        -9                   +1

30-45

7/28                    14                     14                        13                   16

8/15                    14                     24                        10                   8

NET                     0                      +10                      -3                   -8

46-65

7/28                    12                   18                        15                  17

8/15                    14                   12                        12                  18

NET                   +2                   -6                         -3                  +1

65+

7/28                   9                    22                       20                 15

8/15                  14                  16                        7                    29

                         +5                 -6                         -13               +14

Whilst hardly a scientific analysis the New York Daily News ran a readers poll asking who would be the best GOP candidate to take on President Obama. At one point she, Palin, was so out  in front at 55% support that they took the poll down. This result is striking because the NYDN readers, in the heart of Obama country, have been amongst the most snarky in their comments about her whenever that paper does an article on her.
Here are the Daily News Poll results: (thanks To "Curth" At C4P)


Who would make the strongest GOP presidential candidate to run against President Obama?

Michele Bachmann
5%
Herman Cain
5%
Newt Gingrich
0%
John Huntsman
1%
Sarah Palin
51%
Ron Paul
6%
Rick Perry
8%
Mitt Romney
6%
Rick Santorum
10%
None of the above
7%

Again, hardly scientific but notable. At the Iowa Fair over the weekend they had a "corn kernel" poll where the public could put a kernel in a jar marked with the respective candidates names. Palin won this handily.
SARAH WINS AMES CORN KERNEL POLL!


O. P. Ditch from Vets4Sarah spotted this nugget of information:
"Separately, attendees voted in a corn kernel poll, which measures the support of each Republican by the number of kernels in their respective Mason jar. By late morning, the kernel level in Sarah Palin’s jar rose just above the best-known GOP candidates — even though the former Alaska governor has not declared her intentions yet for 2012."

These sort of folksy "polls" do have significance e.g. the clothing company whose candidate branded items constantly reflect who is going to win, as they show grass roots levels of enthusiasm.

Palin has won the Hot Air readers poll against all comers and various other straw polls.There is no question but that there is a substantial pool of support for her, and should she choose to run this will become readily apparent in polling, especially as the herd thins out bit by bit.


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