Saturday, May 31, 2014

Unholy Alliance Of Pork GOP And Dem's Voting Against Party's Interest Won In Mississippi

Only a Dem-of whatever race/color would be dumb enough to vote for the candidate who gives the Dem's no chance of putting up a fight in November. Even the "progressives" at Daily Kos got it with their call for Dem's to vote for McDaniel. Having an open primary where lib's can choose the GOP's senator is utterly ludicrous in the first place. In a closed primary McDaniel would have won easily.


Looking at county data, Cochran's win is almost entirely attributable to a large turnout increase among black voters b/t 6/3 and 6/24

Where this leaves the possibility of McDaniel running as a write in to possibly win in a plurality or to teach the GOP establishment a lesson-even if it means suffering 6 years of having a Dem senator is an open question. So to is what this means for the wider GOP and the possibility of a third party.


Palin as set out below, her supporters, the tea party and conservative voters did an amazing job in getting McDaniel to the run-off. That they were (apparently as there may be legal challenges) defeated by an unholy alliance of pork Republicans and Dem's voting against their party interest may have long reaching, and very negative consequences for the establishment.
BREITBART: LINK

COCHRAN WINS, BUT MCDANIEL CAMP EYING LEGAL CHALLENGES

************************************************** And the final poll from Chism Strategies which gives McDaniel an 8 point lead ( a nine point turnaround from their June 13th poll which had Cochran up by 1 point). McDaniel has gone from 23 points behind prior to Gov. Palin's endorsement to now leading by 8- a 31 point turn-around


Breitbart: LINK

POLL: MCDANIEL TAKES 8-POINT LEAD OVER COCHRAN DAYS FROM ELECTION

"PEARL, Mississippi — A new poll shows that state Sen. Chris McDaniel has surged even further ahead in the final days of his GOP primary runoff against Sen. Thad Cochran (R-MS), in what has become one of the most epic bouts to date between grassroots conservatives and the GOP establishment."


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Then there was this:  LINK

SARAH PALIN: GOP ESTABLISHMENT FIGHTING CHRIS MCDANIEL RATHER THAN OBAMA"


And this:

"GOP Primary Pits John McCain, Sarah Palin Against Each Other" 



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June 16th; http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2014/06/16/Poll-Shows-McDaniel-With-12-Point-Lead:

POLL: MCDANIEL OPENS 12-POINT LEAD OVER COCHRAN


The Citizens United Political Victory Fund poll, conducted by Kellyanne Conway of The Polling Company, Inc., shows McDaniel has a 52 percent to 40 percent lead over Cochran. In a memo, pollster Conway noted too that McDaniel has an “intensity advantage” as 47 percent of his supporters say they are “definite” supporters whereas only 37 percent of Cochran’s say as much."

But a Dem polling outfit has Cochran up one which makes the average spread  to McDaniel by 5.5 points:



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Washington Examiner explores Cochran's funding and Establishment support post  primary:

Mississippi voters stagger Thad Cochran --- and K Street


http://washingtonexaminer.com/mississippi-voters-stagger-thad-cochran-and-k-street/article/2549442
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The results are in an the undeniable "Palin effect" is there for anyone not totally Palin-hate blinkered. McDaniel went from polling 34% to Cochran's 54% to winning on the primary night 9and forcing a run-off against a six term  sitting senator) to 49.6%-just missing the 50% needed for an outright win.

Palin's early endorsement, her active campaigning including a perhaps vital public meeting in the county that gave McDaniel +80% of the vote is set out in full detail below.

Whatever the run-off result Governor Palin,Chris McDaniel and his tema and the Tea party  have provided " "[A] victory for grassroots conservatives who came together and shocked the political world" and proven, once again that Governor Palin is an huge force in politics no matter how much the left and GOPe try to write her off.

On to the Run-off!

"Governor Palin Comments on Last Night’s Victories"



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Final poll (By Dem polling outfit) has McDaniel by two after Palin rally/robocall
Chism Strategies (D)5/29 - 5/29813 LV4644McDaniel +2

The polling history as set out below is that in December prior to Governor Palin's endorsement of GOP candidate for Senator from Mississippi Chris McDaniel he was behind candidate Thad Cochran by 23 points. Palin endorsed (and she was the first major figure to do so as set out below in the endorsement history) on March 13th and the next poll had McDaniel at 37% and Cochran on 45% a lead of just 8 points.

Polling on May 15 has McDaniel 4 points in the lead 43% to 39% a massive 27 point turnaround from the pre-endorsement poll.





May 31st (Via Conservatives4Palin)
Governor Palin joined some fired up conservatives today in the great state of Mississippi.
Thanks to the Clarion Ledger for many wonderful photos of today’s rally.
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March 13th 2014 Breitbart (LINK)

SARAH PALIN ENDORSES CHRIS MCDANIEL FOR SENATE IN MISSISSIPPI

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Sarah Palin Endorses Chris McDaniel (LINK)

Posted on 








NB Harper Polling below which RCP Does not include yet has a virtual tie on the aggregate if included.It represents a drop of 7 points for Cochran from their previous poll and an increase for McDaniel, who clearly has momentum in this case, of 5 points.

2014 Mississippi Senate Republican Primary 

Cochran 45%, McDaniel 40% (Harper Polling 5/27-5/28)


Update:Back to dead heat
RRH/PMI (R)5/28 - 5/29Cochran42 McDaniel41Cochran +1

Endorsement history:

Gov. Palin March 13th
Jeppie Barbour May 28th
Rick Santorum May 29th




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