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Monday, February 15, 2016
First Post South Carolina/Virginia Debate Poll-It's Good News For Trump & In 4 Other SC Polls
Viginia; "Overtime Politics" Feb 12-14 (Post debate)
Donald Trump – 33% Marco Rubio – 19% John Kasich – 14% Ted Cruz – 12% Jeb Bush – 8% Ben Carson – 8% Unknown – 6%
Donald Trump continues to grow his lead in Virginia as he leads Marco Rubio by 14 points – 33-19%.
Trump’s lead has grown since we last polled Virginia back in early January, when he had a 28% share of likely primary voters’ support. John Kasich and Marco Rubio have also seen gains of 13 and 5 points respectively. Cruz is currently down 7 points from the previous poll while Ben Carson has seen his support drop 9 points.
A lot has happened in the last five weeks, but it looks as though John Kasich has received a lot of the support that would have gone to opponents who have dropped out of the race. If things continue this way, Kasich could be a contender for the title of “Trump Alternative” for the Republican Party.
It’s likely that we will see at least one more dropout immediately after Super Tuesday, if not before and that appears to be Ben Carson. A poor showing in South Carolina this weekend would all but end his campaign. It also wouldn’t be surprising if we had at least another dropout on March 2nd (other than Carson), but that second potential dropout is completely up in the air. While it would be hard to see Rubio or Cruz dropping out so early, a number of poor showings on March 1st could put any candidate on ice.
Donald Trump still is leading the S.C. Republican presidential race after the weekend’s explosive GOP debate in Greenville.
But the race for second place in Saturday’s primary appears to be narrowing.
Behind Trump, who has 35 percent support in the poll, U.S. Sens. Marco Rubio of Florida and Ted Cruz of Texas are tied for second place — at 18 percent each, according to a Public Policy Polling survey released exclusively Monday to The State.
Ohio Gov. John Kasich is in forth at 10 percent support, followed by former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson, tied with 7 percent support each.
Public Policy interviewed 897 likely GOP primary voters Sunday and Monday – the first look at how after Saturday night’s Republican presidential debate affected the race. The poll has a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points.
The GOP poll suggests Trump’s debate performance – in which he criticized former President George W. Bush for the 9/11 attacks – may not be hurting the frontrunner in a state that has deep ties to the Bush family.
The poll also suggests Rubio could be closing the gap on Cruz, who has finished second to Trump in seven out of the eight S.C. polls taken in 2016.
Gravis Poll to debate Day
Previous polls show Trump average staying stable with a 33% to 42% range whilst second tier jostles about
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Read more here: http://www.thestate.com/news/politics-government/politics-columns-blogs/the-buzz/article60547281.html#storylink=cpy