Saturday, October 22, 2016

Tracking Polls 21/10 Bring Clinton's Aggregate Lead Down From +7.1 To +5.3

A striking turnaround for Donald Trump in the tracking polls and very interesting developments in the "one off" polls

In five days Clinton has gone from being +2 to being -2, a fall of four points as Trump leads in the Rasmussen poll by +2

In the PPD tracker Clinton fell from 1.7 to a Trump lead of +1.4 a 3.1 turnaround

And in the USC/LATimes poll Trump increased from -0.6 to +0.2

I have added IBD Polling in to the trackers list and to the aggregation in place of UPI/C which is too erratic i nits publishing

Whoa! Did you guys see this? IBD has Trump ahead by 2 but has a +8 Dem sample.

An aggregate figure can't be done with UPI/C  holding back its results but on current polling with IBD Trump is back in the lead in the aggregate a +1.4

If we look at ten days ago, Clinton's height in the tracking polls on 10/11, she has declined sharply in all four.
USC/LATimes -3.2 Rasmussen -5.7 PPD -4.4 UPI/C -1.6 for an aggregate drop of -3.7






Trump's lead in Tracking polls starts to bring Clinton's aggregate lead down.
All polls 10/18 46.2% +7.1 10/21 44.8 +5.3

AGGREGATE OF FOUR ONE OFF POLLS 10/20 Clinton +6.25

AGGREGATE OF FOUR TRACKING POLLS
10/21 Trump +1.4

Trackers Rasmussen/IBD/USLATimes/PPD
One off polls Quinnipiac/YOUGOV-Economist/Fox/ Bloomberg




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