Friday, July 10, 2015

Trump Problem Reince Preibus? Call Sarah Palin Stat!



The New York Times, revelled,
"Can’t Fire Him: Republican Party Frets Over What to Do With Trump"
 using not two but three reporters, (and of course the usual "unnamed
insiders") in what they gleefully describe as the Republicans terrible dilemma. 

They paraphrased, in all but the same words, 'Newsweek's' approach to Sarah Palin "What can you do about a problem called Sarah" when that now departed magazine similarly revelled in what they saw as the GOP's dilemma at the time.

To sum up the 'Times' i.e. the Democrat's overview; Donald Trump is not subject to the usual rules of the game because he is independently wealthy and no prospect of some role in the GOP could possibly tempt him. To try and deal with this dilemma Chairman Priebus and party bigwigs met and; 

"Republican leaders seem deeply torn and paralyzed by indecision. A few weeks ago, those divisions were on vivid display at a regular gathering of top Republican elected officials, strategists and the chairman of the Republican National Committee. Over dinner at the Hay-Adams Hotel opposite the White House, some argued for a swift response, fearing Mr. Trump would mar the coming Republican presidential debates with his needless provocations. Others counseled a hands-off approach, fearing attempts to rein him in would only turn him into a political martyr and, worse, tempt him toward that third-party run. No consensus was reached, and the party chairman, Reince Priebus, left with no clear directive."

Their big problems are further, if they alienate Trump he has the resources to go third-party or Independent and thus, in Perot like fashion, give the 2016 presidential election to the Democrats. If they attack him, or encourage one of the establishment candidates like Bush to, they risk alienating the "ageing White voters" who, if they sit on their hands,again, will almost certainly ensure Hillary is elected. 

Clearly the base likes what they hear from Trump in these end of Obama times, and no other candidate who could credibly promote a similar message has captured their attention or imagination (Cruz languishes in the lower tier at 4% for example)

They fear that Trump's hard line on immigration will alienate Hispanic voters and Independents in an election where every vote may count post Obama.
The NYT in their hobgobling, didn't bother to consider whether the Hispanic vote, as clustered as it is in mostly safe blue electorates, would be a deciding factor, especially if Trump could get the "Perot/Reagan Democrats to the polls, as Sean Trende so well described, in the large numbers that they could potentially provide.

The point of fact is that the GOP Establishment has good cause to worry. If, indeed Trump continues to rise in the polls, especially the state polls where it counts (he is now in first place in North Carolina and second in New Hampshire) all their machinations and Jeb Bush's money will be of no avail. They can hope Trump self-destructs, although at this point it is hard to see how that could happen, he has a Biden Teflon coating for "gaffes" and a Hillary Teflon coating for "scandal."

If Trump starts to pull away and the minor player start to pull out, as they must sooner or later, the GOP Establishment has only one person that could blunt, or even halt Trump's progress-and that is, obviously, Sarah Palin.

Only Palin has the same credibility, if not more, than Trump with the base.
For the Establishment, only Palin could take enough potential support from Trump to split the primary vote to allow e.g. Jeb to do what Romney did with Gingrich and Santorum in 2012, win plurality after plurality.

Only Palin has the credibility, and the favorability factor which Trump lacks, to either stop Trump from going Independent. There is nothing he could offer that she couldn't, and he has heightened her credibility with his potential supporters by meeting with her and inviting her to another "pizza summit." It is difficult to see how an independent run against her by him could have any credibility and such a run would be seen as pure pique if it eventuated.

Reaching out to Palin, now rather than later when shutting the barn door after the horse had bolted would be otiose, is the only way to blunt, or stop Trump from either running away with the nomination, to make a third party run unlikely or nugatory, and, if worse came to worse from the Establishment's point of view to have a 2016 candidate that has all of Trump's appeal without Trump's negatives.

Reince-pick up the phone, Palin saved the GOP's bacon in 2008 (before Lehman Bros. made ever her herculean efforts impossible) she can do so again. If Trump gets an unstoppable head of steam, and time is quickly running out to stop that, or even his primary run so frightens the horses that the brand is irrevocable damaged, you will only have yourself to blame.

Thursday, July 9, 2015

Translated From Spanish; Trump "I Can't Spare This Man... He Fights (Lincoln)

From the original Spanish   LINK

"I CAN NOT DO WITHOUT THIS MAN; He fights "(I)

In 1862, the American Civil War was in full swing, but things did not look good for unionists. In the east, the main army, the Army of the Potomac, badly led by General McClellan, an excellent organizer of armies, but a disaster as a general in the field, harvesting defeat after defeat at the hands of the Confederate Army of Northern Virginia, superbly directed by theGeneral Lee. However, in the west, the picture was different: there were other general, less likely to compromise and to seek victory, and one of them, General Grant, chained a series of victories taking Fort Henry and Fort Donelson in February That same year, they raised the spirits of everyone in Washington. Then in April, Grant won the battle of Shiloh, where after a day of fighting in which Union troops were overcome by the Confederate, Grant refused to concede defeat and retire, as he would no doubt McClellan. Rather, Grant, effectively seconded by another general as bully like him, Sherman, gritted his teeth and fought back the next day with all his might, beating fledged the Confederates and putting to flight, leaving it as the undisputed winner battle. However, human losses were considerable and some in Washington, convinced that it is possible to make an omelette without breaking eggs, they rushed to the White House to see President Lincoln, demanding that Grant relieved of command. Lincoln listened attentively, and finally thought, surely recalling the long series of defeats harvested by McClellan for his unwillingness to fight, he made a decision, telling his visitors: "I can not spare This Man; I have fights "[" I can not spare this man; he fights. "]
Some of you will know of the controversy in the United States recently by certain statements made by Donald Trump, the entrepreneur candidate to the presidency by the Republican Party. Others, however, will know nothing or know little; Just in case that Trump is a "racist" who has "insulted" the Mexicans, that is all that will count them the Spanish media. Unfortunately, we all know and our media, so they may imagine that things are not as they say even less. True, Trump did in his time some controversial statements and it is true that those statements were related to Mexico and Mexicans, but intend to Trump was not to be let alone racist insult to Mexicans, but merely to highlight a number of circumstances that are occurring today and seriously harming the United States. So I convinced my readers deserve to know the truth and form their own opinion, I will take the trouble to narrate in detail what has happened in this area since the first day, not hide them all. Then each judge, but taking all the data at your fingertips, just that which frightens the leftist media, well imbued them that their task is not to inform, but to dictate slogans. Luckily, no longer have the monopoly of information and any citizen, willing to do it, you can open a window to the truth. "Going Rogue, Palin Going special Republican primary" is mine and to open again today, I have let a nice breeze to cool us all.
Trump 2016 2
It all began on June 16, Tuesday, when Donald Trump, the famous American businessman in New York announced his candidacy for president of the United States. Presented by his daughter Ivanka, who praised the work ethic of his father as well as his passion and respect for the traditions, Trump gave a dramatic speech, full of memorable phrases that no one else would dare to utter ("No I need the money from anyone. I am really rich "). However, out of all his speech, there was a paragraph in particular that left a bad taste in the mouths of his supporters. It was as follows:
America has become a dumping ground for problems worldwide. When Mexico [meaning, the government of Mexico] sends his people are not sending their best. They are not sending them to you [pointing to the audience]. They are not sending them to you [pointing again]. They're sending people who have a lot of problems and that these problems are bringing with them. They are bringing drugs. They are bringing crime.They are rapists. And some, I guess, they're good people! But I talk to the Border Guard and they tell me what we're getting. And that makes sense.We are not sending the right people. They come from beyond Mexico. They are coming from all over South and Latin America and are probably coming from the Middle East. But we do not know. Because we have no protection and have no skills, we do not know what's going on. And that has to stop and must stop quickly.
Trump's speech was generally well received, so much that Sean Hannity, radio broadcaster and host of Fox News, said that the entry of Trump at stake "might well be the adrenaline rush they need all Republicans." For his part, Robert Davi, one of the few actors in Hollywood who does not hide his conservatism, Breitbart News wrote that Trump could play in 2016 the role played Ross Perot in 1992 (recalling further that year also occurred presidential elections in which a -GHW Bush Bush, presented against a 41- Clinton -Bill-), providing conservative precisely this message that both craved hearing, "one leader to paint in bold colors of red, white and blue ". However, there was no doubt that the way for Trump would not be easy and that even though he knew communicate clearly with the Americans, would have to see how the campaign unfolded and how responded Trump in televised debates because, as Davi concluded: "I think Trump has a devastating direct; the question is: How hard is your jaw? ". Finally, Rush Limbaugh, the radio host, said Trump's message would have resonated with Americans, again compared with Ross Perot in 1992.
That same day the first reviews to Trump, who came from the left, but right is heard. In the Fox News program "The Five" co-anchor Dana Perino doubted the claim Trump to build a wall along the border with Mexico and make this country out who paid for its construction. His partner, Eric Bolling, defended Trump, but Perino seemed really angry and there was no way to calm her. Then, Charles Krauthammer, political commentator lamented the presence of Trump in the electoral campaign in the "Special Report" program, also from Fox News, complaining about the many contradictions he saw in his introduction and fearing that out to hurt the Republican Party as such.
For its part, the left also fell short and MSNBC was the most enthusiastic about criticizing Trump. Wednesday on "The Rundown With Jose Diaz-Balart," Jimmy Williams, editor of program Blue Nation Review , and Shira Center, editor of The Boston Globe , took the position of considering a candidate Trump joke, something that They coincided with Krauthammer, who had also dismissed as unserious candidate. Even they highlighted the fact that Trump has filed for bankruptcy four times, which is certainly a fact to keep in mind, if only because it has been redone and has regained all fortune and each of those four times. But I think that's not what they wanted us to recognize, right?
The first time someone made specific mention of that paragraph of his speech that was seen above Kasie Hunt, MSNBC reporter. This had the opportunity to talk in person with Trump in Iowa and ask if reaffirmed in those reviews that say that Mexico sent to the United States "rapists". Trump replied:
Completely. They are not sending us its best people. And it is people from other countries besides Mexico. We have drug dealers across the border, we have rapists, murderers have, we have criminals. I mean it is a matter of common sense. What do you think they're going to send: your best people, the best of them? The answer is no.
After journalists, politicians. John Sununu, former chief of staff GHW Bush and former governor of New Hampshire, told MSNBC "Andrea Mitchell Reports" Trump's statements about Mexicans were "ugly" and "lacking class" and would cause the "Republican electorate" he felt "uncomfortable".
This was the scene who saw the campaign team of Trump very next day after his boss announced his candidacy. It was clear that this was only the beginning and that things would get worse. It is true that paragraph of yore was poorly worded; as a former journalist, I reckon it's pretty gross and it would have needed a thorough review before someone were to read in public, even to make clear that among those illegal immigrants who cross the border, even though doing so illegally (which does not still a bad start), a large majority honestly come to work and send money to their families in Mexico.
For my part, I have no doubt that Trump made ​​his comments less thinking about that, but high, proportion of illegal immigrants who are undoubted criminals whose crimes and US media stubbornly refuse to collect. To understand what we are talking about, it will suffice precisely figures provided by the government agency responsible for controlling immigration in the United States, the Immigrations and Customs Enforcement (ICE).These figures refer only to one state, Texas, said that last year 860 foreign offenders, of which 27% assaulted children were deported. And that in the last three years, the ICE has deported more than 7,000 rapists who had illegally entered the country or had been deported before. In fact, in some areas of Texas along the border with Mexico they have increased the numbers of offenders arrested by 100% between 2013 and 2014. Of course this is not what you want Obama to appear in the media, so it does not appear. However, that does not leave in the news does not mean it does not exist and these data I give are nothing compared with other more than give you a full account throughout this series on the first month of election campaign of Donald Trump .
In the next post, we'll see how worse the smear campaign against Trump, entering the game even the Mexican government. But we will see how he spends Trump when touched noses. And we'll laugh. I promise. Word Palin!

Tuesday, July 7, 2015

Redux:The Day The "Progressive" Fools Idol Called "Obama" Vanished


From my article originally published at Bob Belvedere's: 
"The Camp Of The Saints"


The Day The "Progressive" Fools Idol Called "Obama" Vanished

I take no pleasure in seeing the idol statue that the progressive left called "Senator Barack Obama" (the real person bearing no resemblance to the idol of course) in 2008 finally come crashing down on their collective heads.

Normally to see the foolish "progressives' the denizens of such Blog sites as 'Daily Kos' and 'Wonkette' come a cropper would be a chance for rejoicing with a soupçon  of withering sarcasm. However the regime they, and of course their enablers in the media, inflicted on the country for seven years takes the edge off any such opportunity for gloating.

There is no need to catalog all the media distortions, willful blindness and outright fabrications thrown the McCain Palin team in their pursuit of "Obama" being elected at all costs-it has been so drearily rehashed. Further, the same media people exhibit not the slightest bit of shame for their destroying what shreds of honesty and respect their profession had as they go about trying to elect Hillary, so there is no calling them to any account they would heed.

That all these forces reign of error is, thankfully and at long last, coming to an end has been nobly and minutely covered by Kevin Williamson at National Review "We have officially reached peak leftism." It is an awful catalog of dreary dogmatism run wild leading to a final spasm of revengeful idiocy (e.g. "rampant campus rape" "bakers being locked up") as he catalogs. 

Hopefully this sad but required reading will serve as a cautionary tale for future generations who might be tempted by similar "Obama" like siren calls.

That the same forces who rejected Hillary for Obama now have to take up the cudgels for her is of course just another example of the ludicrous situation. But the final act in this tragedy is the

"Republican-led Congress hands Obama major win on trade"

So in the near final act of this charade the person the progressives put in office (with the help of more Wall St. Money then ever before-Obama was the first Dem to get more cash from that quarter than the Republican) gets anti-labor legislation passed by the Republicans! That'll learn the fools (which is what they are-fooled fools).

All that energy  wasted, all the hopes and dreams and dreams, which is all that they were, of "we are the ones we have been waiting for" of the "waters receding and the planet healing" (it's hard to write that last with a straight face) have come to naught.

Well not exactly naught the country has to pick up the pieces from a failed experiment in pseudo-progressivism that's why one can't revel in the downfall of the fools.



Thursday, July 2, 2015

3rd Poll In Row Shows Trump In 2nd Place;Macy's/Univision Confirmation of Serious Candidacy

I wrote the article after the asterisks a few days ago. The main points were that the naysayers, smart-alecs and haters in the leftist media wrote Donald Trump off as a publicity seeker who would never run. He did. Then they said he would not register with the Electoral Commission. He did.

Then they said he would not have any impact in the polls.He did.

He leapt into second place just a few points behind Jeb Bush in New Hampshire and they then said it was just a regional poll and he would have no national appeal. He did. The first subsequent nationwide poll put him in second place just behind Bush.

I discussed that Trump losing his Univison contract, a potentially great financial cost, on top of his walking away from his NBC 'The Apprentice' show to run proved his commitment. Subsequent to that the media reports that Macy's department store group will not carry his products which he must have considered a possibility before he ran and is yet another indication he takes the campaign seriously.

Now a third, reputable, nationwide poll has appeared which shows, once again that Trump is in second place.

The leftist media has had to face the reality of Trump's rise and commitment and are trying out a number of memes. They, grudgingly, admit Trump's poll placings, it's too apparent to be denied, but advise "Trump's rise hurting the Republican's." 

How they determine this is a mystery, something about his forthright statements, which other candidates are too cowardly to address, will put off the voters. What evidence they have to show for this assumption is well hidden.

That they can laud Socialist Bernie Sanders "populist message" and huge crowd attendance and not give a moments consideration to how that may "be an embarrassment to the Democrat's" is, on the other hand, hardly a mystery, just a symptom of the endless media bias.

Trump, no matter  how the campaign ends for him is, doing the Republican's a massive favor by drawing a huge distinction between the Democrat's record of failure and the positive prescriptions available to the Republicans. He is also doing the Republicans a favor by showing clearly which of the other candidates has the stuff to stand up to Hillary, the Dem machine and the media-so far it is only him.

**********************************************************************
Whether he's agreed with or not presidential candidate Donald Trump has, once again, proven the elitist naysayers wrong-actually wrong over and over again in a matter of days.

When he indicated he might run there was a chorus of derision from the Beltway pundits (here's a partial list) who said it was just a publicity stunt to promote his reality shows and he would never run. 

Then when he made the announcement that he was running they poured utter scorn on his announcement speech "rambling and incoherent." The they said, "he won't follow through and register with the Electoral Commission" which of course he did straight away.

Then they said he would never attract any support, straight after which he leapt into second place in the New Hampshire polls above all the other candidates except Bush who he is only a few points behind. "that's New Hampshire" they sneered-Pat Robertson did the same thing with his populist message which appeals to the Granite States populist leaning voters-but he won't get any traction nationwide"

Then, right on schedule, the next nationwide poll came out which showed Trump, once again, in second place. 

Next up the Beltway, having exhausted all the previous nay-saying, have resorted to the crystal ball; So now the chorus is singing in unison "he will damage the Republican brand because he is getting so much support and will have to be included in the debates."

And "he may have had a short term lift in the polls but in the medium term he will fail to get any traction." Well we shall see, all we can say with certainty is that the pundits have been dead wrong about him so far as they view him from their Olympian heights with the action of their nostrils skywards.

What has been enjoyable through all this is to see the Beltway pundit class show their true elitist colors, basically it's another version of their flyover country attacks circa 2008, but in Trump they have someone who fights back hard, who can't be bought by them, and owes them nothing.

Again, one may or may not agree with Trump, bearing in mind you have to sort through the media's grossly biased reporting to understand what Trump actually said and meant, before it is fair to decide ones views about his comments/positions.  But one thing is certain, rather than using his run as publicity tool Trump has taken one for the team in an amazing display of dedication to his political cause.

Trump's statements on Mexican immigration have cost him potentially millions of dollars in lost revenue. Both Univision, which is his beauty contest platform, and NBC, have announced they will no longer partner with him. He also left his big earning NBC show "The Apprentice" to make his presidential run.

This shows that Trump means political business no matter what the cost, is unafraid to take a political position no matter the media attacks that ensue, that he is beholden to no fundraisers whether overt or covert, and that he has put the lie to the pundits once again.


Ten Thousand Reasons Dem's Must Fear Bernie Sanders As New Nader



Ten thousand people jammed into Veteran's Memorial Coliseum in Madison Wisconsin yesterday to hear former Socialist now Democratic Party candidate Bernie Sanders "beating his populist drum, to the delight of his supporters."


Sanders advised;"The big money interests — Wall Street, corporate America, all of these guys — have so much power that no president can defeat them unless there is an organized grassroots movement making them an offer they can't refuse," 


This message is something that Hillary Clinton has had a go at but it sounds utterly ludicrous coming from a multi-millionaire with decades of connection to "Wall Street,corporate America." 


The Democratic machine and media initially dealt with the Sanders problem, if they gave it more than a cursory glance, as the quixotic campaign of an an eccentric uncle.  As Sanders started to rise in some polls, to within striking distance of Hillary in New Hampshire if the trend evidenced continued, a new meme appeared.


"Sanders is actually good for Hillary as it will allow her to distance herself from the more extreme "progressive' wing of the party. That may or may not be the case but the problem with that is if Sanders continues to grow and get mass support the public will begin to associate the "progressive wing' of the Dem's actually being the main element of the party and Hillary an out of touch leftover from the Clinton years.


Even if she gets the nomination, as she probably will barring Sanders rising so far that Biden or some dark horse steps in and causes another 2008 for her, if Sanders has caused such a deep impression on the public she would have great difficulty in disabusing them that she is just a front person for a socialist agenda. 


But the greatest danger for the Dem's is if Sanders creates such a groundswell amongst activists that, after losing a number of primary battles, he goes Independent or third party. 


That this could be a disastrous for the left repeat of the 2000 Bush /Gore election (with another Jewish candidate to add to the repeat mix) must be the stuff of nightmares for the Dem operatives.That it might involve another Bush and with the same result would be beyond a nightmare for them.


A "progressive" indie run by Sanders would, at one swell swoop remove the vital core of on the ground, get out the vote, door knocking young Dem's and their fund-raising abilities. That alone could be a disaster in such close and vital states as Florida,Virginia, Colorado and Ohio where the election most likely, will be won or lost. 


It would remove the massive social media support of Bloggers,Tweeters/Facebookers and the like from the Hillary support team. This would be even worse than in 2000 when such mass outreach was not available.


It would remove, to a large degree, the ever reliable leftist media cohort the Ezra Klein led leftist media "JournOlist conspiracy" which contributed so much to Obama's 2008 campaign as Sanders would most certainly appeal to these younger journalists than an aged Establishment candidate like Hillary could.


In the Electoral College history dwelt on the Florida recount in 2000 that sunk Al Gore's chances. What is often overlooked is that if he had carried New Hampshire its measly four Electoral College votes would have given him the presidency (New Hampshire went for Clinton previously, and Obama twice, subsequently).


The result in New Hampshire was G.W. Bush 273,559 (48.07%)  Al Gore 266,348 (46.80%) and

Ralph Nader 22,198 (3.90). It is hard to conceive Bush winning* the state if Green Party candidate Ralph Nader, the idol of progressives, had not run-even allowing for a pox on "both your houses" percentage of his supporters not voting.

With previous Electoral College history indicating a close result based on the four key states and New Hampshire the nightmare for the Dem's of a Sanders run (perhaps as a Green Party candidate) could turn into a waking disaster for them. 


That Sanders is from Vermont and is polling relatively well in new Hampshire at this early date only adds to the potential bad dream for them.


At the very least Sanders will force Hillary to deal with why the Dem's are so enamored with a populist message when they have supposedly had a reforming, progressive populist President in office for eight years. 


She would have to explain how she would address the issues Sanders raises and by doing so would either have to deny them and thus alienate the base, or agree with them, but state she would handle them better which would scare of the Establishment and centrist voters whilst alienating her Wall Street support.


Welcome to your nightmare Democratic Party Establishment, will it be a repeat of the one you had in 2000?




"New Hampshire was by 2000 considered to be a swing state in otherwise solidly liberal New England. While it had been a Republican stronghold for Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush in the 1980s, Democrat Bill Clinton managed to win the state two elections in a row in the 1990s, and the state was a toss-up in 2000. Bush narrowly eked out a win, with a plurality of 48% of the vote over Gore's 47%. A major contributing factor to Bush's victory is that 5% of the state voted for a third party candidate, mostly for left-leaning Green Party candidateRalph Nader, who took votes away from Gore."



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