Saturday, May 31, 2014

Unholy Alliance Of Pork GOP And Dem's Voting Against Party's Interest Won In Mississippi

Only a Dem-of whatever race/color would be dumb enough to vote for the candidate who gives the Dem's no chance of putting up a fight in November. Even the "progressives" at Daily Kos got it with their call for Dem's to vote for McDaniel. Having an open primary where lib's can choose the GOP's senator is utterly ludicrous in the first place. In a closed primary McDaniel would have won easily.

Looking at county data, Cochran's #MSSEN win is almost entirely attributable to a large turnout increase among black voters b/t 6/3 and 6/24

Where this leaves the possibility of McDaniel running as a write in to possibly win in a plurality or to teach the GOP establishment a lesson-even if it means suffering 6 years of having a Dem senator is an open question. So to is what this means for the wider GOP and the possibility of a third party.
http://palin4president2016.blogspot.co.nz/2012/08/palin-issues-third-party-challengethis.html …

Palin as set out below, her supporters, the tea party and conservative voters did an amazing job in getting McDaniel to the run-off. That they were (apparently as there may be legal challenges) defeated by an unholy alliance of pork Republicans and Dem's voting against their party interest may have long reaching, and very negative consequences for the establishment.
BREITBART: LINK

COCHRAN WINS, BUT MCDANIEL CAMP EYING LEGAL CHALLENGES

************************************************** And the final poll from Chism Strategies which gives McDaniel an 8 point lead ( a nine point turnaround from their June 13th poll which had Cochran up by 1 point). McDaniel has gone from 23 points behind prior to Gov. Palin's endorsement to now leading by 8- a 31 point turn-around

Breitbart: LINK

POLL: MCDANIEL TAKES 8-POINT LEAD OVER COCHRAN DAYS FROM ELECTION

"PEARL, Mississippi — A new poll shows that state Sen. Chris McDaniel has surged even further ahead in the final days of his GOP primary runoff against Sen. Thad Cochran (R-MS), in what has become one of the most epic bouts to date between grassroots conservatives and the GOP establishment."

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Then there was this: LINK

SARAH PALIN: GOP ESTABLISHMENT FIGHTING CHRIS MCDANIEL RATHER THAN OBAMA"

And this:

"GOP Primary Pits John McCain, Sarah Palin Against Each Other"

LINK

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June 16th; http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2014/06/16/Poll-Shows-McDaniel-With-12-Point-Lead:

POLL: MCDANIEL OPENS 12-POINT LEAD OVER COCHRAN

The Citizens United Political Victory Fund poll, conducted by Kellyanne Conway of The Polling Company, Inc., shows McDaniel has a 52 percent to 40 percent lead over Cochran. In a memo, pollster Conway noted too that McDaniel has an “intensity advantage” as 47 percent of his supporters say they are “definite” supporters whereas only 37 percent of Cochran’s say as much."

But a Dem polling outfit has Cochran up one which makes the average spread to McDaniel by 5.5 points:

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Washington Examiner explores Cochran's funding and Establishment support post primary:

Mississippi voters stagger Thad Cochran --- and K Street

http://washingtonexaminer.com/mississippi-voters-stagger-thad-cochran-and-k-street/article/2549442
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The results are in an the undeniable "Palin effect" is there for anyone not totally Palin-hate blinkered. McDaniel went from polling 34% to Cochran's 54% to winning on the primary night 9and forcing a run-off against a six term sitting senator) to 49.6%-just missing the 50% needed for an outright win.

Palin's early endorsement, her active campaigning including a perhaps vital public meeting in the county that gave McDaniel +80% of the vote is set out in full detail below.

Whatever the run-off result Governor Palin,Chris McDaniel and his tema and the Tea party have provided " "[A] victory for grassroots conservatives who came together and shocked the political world" and proven, once again that Governor Palin is an huge force in politics no matter how much the left and GOPe try to write her off.

On to the Run-off!

"Governor Palin Comments on Last Night’s Victories"

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Final poll (By Dem polling outfit) has McDaniel by two after Palin rally/robocall

Chism Strategies (D)	5/29 - 5/29	813 LV	46	44	McDaniel +2

The polling history as set out below is that in December prior to Governor Palin's endorsement of GOP candidate for Senator from Mississippi Chris McDaniel he was behind candidate Thad Cochran by 23 points. Palin endorsed (and she was the first major figure to do so as set out below in the endorsement history) on March 13th and the next poll had McDaniel at 37% and Cochran on 45% a lead of just 8 points.

Polling on May 15 has McDaniel 4 points in the lead 43% to 39% a massive 27 point turnaround from the pre-endorsement poll.

May 31st (Via Conservatives4Palin)

Governor Palin joined some fired up conservatives today in the great state of Mississippi.

Thanks to the Clarion Ledger for many wonderful photos of today’s rally.
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March 13th 2014 Breitbart (LINK)

SARAH PALIN ENDORSES CHRIS MCDANIEL FOR SENATE IN MISSISSIPPI

*************************************************************************

Sarah Palin Endorses Chris McDaniel (LINK)

Posted on May 28, 2014

NB Harper Polling below which RCP Does not include yet has a virtual tie on the aggregate if included.It represents a drop of 7 points for Cochran from their previous poll and an increase for McDaniel, who clearly has momentum in this case, of 5 points.

2014 Mississippi Senate Republican Primary

Cochran 45%, McDaniel 40% (Harper Polling 5/27-5/28)

Update:Back to dead heat

RRH/PMI (R)	5/28 - 5/29	Cochran	42 McDaniel	41	Cochran +1

Endorsement history:

Gov. Palin March 13th
Jeppie Barbour May 28th
Rick Santorum May 29th

Thursday, May 8, 2014

History Of Winning GOP Senate Candidate Joni Ernst Poll Leap From 18% To 56% After Palin's Early Endorsement

Here is the full polling and endorsement history of Governor Palin's and Joni Ernst's triumph in Iowa. The early endorsement date belies the leftist myth that "Palin only endorses when the candidate is a sure thing" and the equally silly comment that "Palin endorses and doesn't follow up by campaign support.

The final result-a landslide of epic proportions;

Iowa Senate - Republican Primary (June 3)

Poll	Date	Sample	Ernst	Jacobs	Clovis	Whitaker	Schaben	Spread
RCP Average	4/3 - 4/14	--	22.0	20.7	6.7	5.0	2.3	Ernst +1.3
WFB/The Polling Company (R)	4/13 - 4/14	223 RV	23	20	6	7	2	Ernst +3
Loras College	4/7 - 4/8	600 LV	18	19	7	4	4	Jacobs +1

Above is the previous polling from
Real Clear Politics which tracks polls.

Governor Palin endorsed Joni Ernst as candidate for the GOP nomination for senator from Iowa on
March 26th
http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2014/03/26/Sarah-Palin-Endorses-Joni-Ernst-for-U-S-Senate-in-Iowa

As that endorsement worked its way through Ernst went from second place at 18% to first place at 23% a +3 point lead.

In this latest poll from Harper polling Ernst has extended her lead to + 10 points 33% to 23%
Harper Polling on behalf of American Heartland PAC

Harper Polling

Iowa Senate GOP Primary Poll on behalf of American Heartland PAC

TO:                 Interested Parties
FROM:           Brock McCleary, President
DATE:            May 2, 2014
RE:                 Key Findings – Iowa Senate Republican Primary Survey

In the Iowa Republican primary race for Senate, Joni Ernst holds a 10% lead over her nearest competitor, Mark Jacobs. Ernst’s ballot strength is underscored by an image rating of 54% favorable-to-11% unfavorable.

Ernst runs strongest in the Des Moines media market where she leads by 30% over Jacobs (45%-15%). In the Cedar Rapids market, Ernst leads by 7% (35%-28%). Jacobs leads in the Davenport market by 22% over Ernst and Sam Clovis. Clovis holds a 21% lead in the Sioux City market.

Ernst’s lead is nearly identical among both tea party (+9%) and non-tea party voters (+10%).

                   Tea Party       Non-Tea Party
Ernst              31%                 36%
Jacobs            22%                26%
Clovis             18%                 6%
Whitaker       3%                   6%
Schaben         2%                   0%

Self-identified “very conservative” and “somewhat conservative” voters hold overwhelmingly favorable opinions of Joni Ernst.

                                                            Ernst Favorable       Ernst Unfavorable
            Very Conservative              55%                             11%
            Somewhat Conservative    59%                             9%

In summary, with a month to go before the election, Joni Ernst is well-positioned to be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa.

Ballot Test

Q: If the Republican primary election for Senate were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for: Sam Clovis, Joni Ernst, Mark Jacobs, Scott Schaben or Matt Whitaker?

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RCP POLL TO MAY 19th Ernst extends lead to 16 points. This a 16 point increase from the 18% Ernst had prior to Gov.Palin's endorsement

FINAL POLL IN 'BELLWEATHER' DISTRICTS+20points

"Five-way GOP race in Iowa Suffolk poll:

Ernst led all four of her Republican opponents—businessmen Mark Jacobs and Scott Schaben, radio show host Sam Clovis and former U.S. attorney Matt Whitaker—by between 20 and 34 percent. The November election will pit the Republican nominee against Democratic Congressman Bruce Braley, who is unopposed in the Democratic primary, as well as independent and third-party candidates also vying for the Senate seat."

ERNST ENDORSEMENT DATES

PALIN MARCH 26TH

MARCO RUBIO MAY 7th

GARY BAUER MAY 8th

RICK SANTORUM ENDORSES CLOVIS MAY14th

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VIDEO; (cut and paste to link)

http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/elections/2014/04/27/sarah-palin-joni-ernst-iowa/8311707/

DES MOINES REGISTER

Sarah Palin lends star power to Joni Ernst in Iowa

This is the 4th in a series of endorsements by Governor Palin, where she has made the endorsement well ahead of election day and has committed to campaigning, which has seen remarkable movements soon after-from last place to first and then in some instances to substantial leads.

Karen Handel for Georgia LINK (400% surge)

Ben Sasse for Nebraska LINK (15 point turnaround)

T W Shannon for Oklahoma LINK (46 point leap!)

Friday, May 2, 2014

Update:Palin Hails Brave Handel Who Falls Short By 3.6 Points:Georgia Senate Candidate Handel Surges 400% From Last To Virtual Tie After Palin Endorsement

As Governor Palin stated in her Facebook post comments on Karen Handel's brave run she did remarkably well as set out below-going from dead last on 5% prior to Palin's endorsement to just missing out on the run off by 3.6 points at 22% on election day. Handel was massively outspent and the conservative vote was, once again, split. Both Handel and Palin can be very proud of their efforts.

"A special thanks tonight to Georgia senate candidate Karen Handel for having the courage to jump into the ring and fight for what is right. Our nation becomes a better nation when good candidates like Karen come forward and offer to serve for the right reasons. The party of Lincoln and Reagan needs more strong, confident conservative women like her. Teddy Roosevelt's quote about the man – or woman – “in the arena” is applicable here: God bless the candidate “who strives valiantly,” and “if [she] fails, at least fails while daring greatly, so that [her] place shall never be with those cold and timid souls who neither know victory nor defeat.”

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Mirroring Governor Palin's previous endorsement success for Ben Sasse in Nebraska (LINK) and T W Shannon in Oklahoma, Georgia 2014 senate candidate Karen Handel's remarkable polling rise is yet another tribute to the "Power of Palin."

Below is the remarkable, and undeniable history of Handel moving from a negative point position prior to Palin's endorsement, (which history I set out below) to, as of today, a virtual tie for the 16 lead-a point turnaround.

This is the next in a long line of "Palin effect" turnarounds coming fast on the heels of the almost miraculous 46 point! turnaround for Oklahoma senate candidate T W Shannon-you can read about it at this link; http://tinyurl.com/lj5hyhz

What makes the latest episode in Palin power particularly salient, is that it comes at the exact moment the "Lame Stream Media is trying desperately to, once again, take her down. Over the last week there have been stories from well known political commentators along the lines of "Palin is "diminished" a spent force, doesn't attract the crowds like she used to and etc.

The photo below, of Palin addressing a massive crowd of 1000 in Tulsa for T W Shannon, after having attended a sold out $500 a table dinner in Alabama, shows how ludicrous that line of propaganda is.The facts speak for themselves, the leftist media speaks with forked tongues.

Karen Handel was in last place on 5% and 12 points behind leader David Purdue on March 23rd (See RCP Poll compilation below)

March 27th

Sarah Palin endorses Karen Handel for U.S. Senate LINK

April 3rd

Palin campaigns for Handel in Ga. Senate race LINK

April 16th Handel jumps to 13% now in third place

April 27th Handel Jumps to 15% still in third place

April 29th Handel Jumps to 21% now in second place 1 point behind
May 7th Handel at 21% Purdue at 23.1% LINK
If this continues Handel will make the runoff as she is 6 points clear of third place.

GA: KAREN HANDEL SURGES TO VIRTUAL TIE FOR FIRST AFTER PALIN ENDORSEMENT LINK

Outstanding photo, with appreciation and permission, by Rachel Brewer @theanswerwoman

Thursday, May 1, 2014

Update;Sasse wins by 27 Points:Palin Power;Endorsed Nebraska Candidate Sasse's 25 Point Turnaround Into Lead

Above is the final lot of polling for the Nebraska GOP senate nomination which does not include the Feb 28th poll which had Osborn 11 points ahead prior to Governor Palin's endorsement but it does include one with Osborn ahead. The remarkable turnaround for Sasse subsequent to her endorsement and her actively campaigning for him in Nebraska is set out in detail below.

What is also of significance is the early date of Palin's endorsement-which counters the left meme that "Palin only endorses late when the endorsee is sure of winning" which is of course nonsense.

NAME ENDORSEMENT DATE

SARAH PALIN MARCH 13

TED CRUZ APRIL 23

RICK SANTORUM MAY 7

GARY BAUER MAY 8

PAT TOOMEY MAY 9

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Mirroring Governor Palin's previous endorsement success in Nebraska-that of assisting to propel now Senator Deb Fischer in to the senate from a lagging campaign prior to endorsement, Nebraska 2014 candidate Ben Sasse is yet another tribute to the "power of Palin."

Below is the remarkable, and undeniable history of Sasse's moving from a negative 9 point position prior to Palin's endorsment, (which history I set out below) to, as of today, a 6 point lead- a 15 point turnaround.

This is the next in a long line of "Palin effect" turnarounds coming fast on the heels of the almost miraculous 46 point! turnaround for Oklahoma senate candidate TW Shannon-you can read about it at this link; http://tinyurl.com/lj5hyhz

February 28th TPC Polling; Shane Osborn Ben Sasse Osborn +11

http://tinyurl.com/lgyaddo

35% 24%

March 13th Governor Palin announces

she has endorsed Sasse.

http://tinyurl.com/ljs3xyq

April 17th Palin announces she will

campaign for Sasse

http://tinyurl.com/mlyouww

April 26th 1000 attend a Palin Rally

for Sasse in North Platte Nebraska

with substantial local and national

media coverage

http://tinyurl.com/mcck5yq

April 29th Ben Sasse takes a 6 point 25% 31% Sasse+6

lead in the poll

http://tinyurl.com/kd2klg6

May 10th Sasse takes a 14 point lead LINK 38% to 24%