Friday, February 19, 2016

Making Sense Of The 10 Last Days South Carolina Polls; All In One Place


UPDATE ASTOUNDING NEW 7NEWS POLL TRUMP 43.58% UP BY 22 POINTS

MASSIVE POLL OF OVER 1300 SC VOTERS PICKED UP THE DEMOCRAT'S AND INDEPENDENTS CROSSING OVER TO VOTE FOR TRUMP IN OPEN PRIMARY WHICH EXPLAINS TRUMP'S 43.58% VOTE

90% SAID GOVERNOR HALEY'S ENDORSEMENT OF RUBIO WOULD HAVE NO EFFECT ON THEIR VOTING

The three top issues that they consider most important in the election of our next President: The Economy (26%), Immigration Control (22%) and fighting Terrorism (21%).

 The above poll is not clear as to whether it is regional or state wide. However the crossover indications, issues declared and endorsement support are important factors
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Huffington Post updated polls including the clearly ridiculous NBC/WSJ poll and the "Opinion Savvy" poll.

 Those two polls are way out of line with the rest of the nine recent polls.Explanation of polling bias is detailed below. 

 The bottom line is the average from the aggregate of all 9 polls is a Trump lead of about 14 points

Real Clear Politics includes the SC House Poll

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Opinion Savvy poll Augusta Chronicle note
"For all intents & purposes, results indicate very likely Trump win" Always check the qualification e.g.
"97% of Trump supporters indicated that they do not foresee changing their vote."


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As for the baised polls.....
I Don’t Believe The Latest SC Polls - Here’s Why;
Read more at:  
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3:18 PM - 19 Feb 2016
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