Saturday, June 6, 2020

Unanswered Of Course "Democrats have run Minneapolis for generations. Why is there still systemic racism?

Via USA Today

Is it fair for Democrats to characterize Republicans or conservatives as racists or racially insensitive without taking their share of the blame?

My home town newspaper published a front-page photo on Wednesday with a caption about protests against "systemic police brutality against people of color."
Systemic racism is being discussed a great deal in the wake of George Floyd’s death under the knee of now-former Minneapolis police officer Derek Chauvin.
The video of Chauvin’s knee on Floyd’s neck for nearly nine minutes, as Floyd repeatedly said he couldn’t breathe, has ignited protests peaceful and violent, with the tragedy also being used by some as a way to destroy, steal — and worse. In one case, looters in St. Louis shot and killed David Dorn, a highly respected black retired police captain, as he was trying to protect a pawn shop
It’s likely — just as it’s likely the sun comes up in the west — that when a good many people say “systemic racism,” they’re not including the politicians they like and the political party they favor.
One way to tell? Their attitude toward who has been running the systems.
On social media the other day, in discussions of George Floyd’s death, I saw an increasing number of references from Democrats and Democratic friends about the problem of systemic racism. I wrote the following post, citing only a few municipal examples:
“Below are pertinent questions, given the way the Democratic Party defines itself as being the party of tolerance and inclusion, and many Democrats' characterizations of Republicans or conservatives as racists or racially insensitive.
"Minneapolis, Minn. has been under Democratic control since 1978. Chicago has been under Democratic control for 89 years; its present mayor is a black woman. Philadelphia has had Democratic mayors for 68 years; three of its last five mayors have been black men. Six of the last seven Atlanta, Ga., mayoral administrations were led by black Democratic mayors, and the present mayor is a black woman.
"A city runs its police department and other services; therefore, if there is so much 'systemic racism' in these organizations, why hasn't it been corrected over so many years under Democratic leaders?
"Why aren't these cities garden spots of racial tolerance, understanding, and virtue?"
There have been no answers.
In the wake of the 2015 riots in Baltimore after the death in police custody of a black man named Freddie Gray, CNN anchor Chris Cuomo interviewed black Baltimore City Councilman Nick Mosby, a Democrat.
Mosby’s answer, particularly to Cuomo’s last question below, is instructive, in that it’s clear he wasn’t expecting it:
MOSBY: This is much more than Freddie Gray. Freddie Gray was the culmination of, again, decades – the young guys out here showing their frustration and venting, being angry and doing it in an unproductive way, they are carrying their father's burden. They're carrying their grandfather's burden. Again this is generations old of failed policies and broken promises.
CUOMO: You are a Democrat, right?
CUOMO: Is this on you guys? The mayor is a Democrat, you're a Democrat, 50 years of Democratic rule here, and is this an idea that you haven't gotten it done as a party, as a structure here, and is that the focus on the blame?
MOSBY: Leadership is not based off of party lines, and at the end of the day, have individuals failed in this city, in this state, in this country? Yes. Have there been failed policies? Yes. Have things adversely affected places like Baltimore? Yes, whether you're talking about Reaganomics, whether you're talking about the contraband where they talk about stop and frisk procedures or mass incarceration. All of these things directly play into recidivism and play into the things that plague these communities. So it's all about leadership and not necessarily about parties.
That’s a lengthy, rambling way around the barn to say he wasn’t going to give a specific answer to a direct question, because it’s about the party to which he belongs. However, if you go to the City of Baltimore’s website and click on the government directory, under "P" you’ll find the Baltimore Police Department, because it’s the city of Baltimore’s responsibility.
Cuomo’s question was pertinent. It went unanswered.
Why do we not want a knee on George Floyd’s neck? Not only because it’s wrong, but because we don’t want one on ours. If we want our rights respected, we must respect — and protect — the rights of others.
Unfortunately, in too many cases when people say they want an open and honest discussion about race in America, what they mean is they want an open and honest discussion only about what they say is wrong with people who aren’t them.
When people talk about the need to deal with systemic racism, if they’re not willing to talk about the systems run — often for generations by the political party or politicians they support — they aren’t interested in an open and honest conversation; instead, they want only to use the issue as a club against people who aren’t them.
If that’s the case, we’re condemned to never get off this tragedy of a merry-go-round.
George Korda is a political analyst for WATE-TV, hosts “State Your Case” from noon to 2 p.m. Sundays on WOKI-FM Newstalk 98.7 and is president of Korda Communications, a public relations and communications consulting firm. This columnfirst appeared in the Knoxville News-Sentinel.

PPP (Preposterous Phantastic "Polling") Trump Black Approval 2% Hispanic 18%"

OK PPP is a "D" orientated poll but still there has to be a little teeny shred of credibility to be in the public forum-apparently not.

Here is their latest "polling" for Texas; Biden 48%  Trump 48%

Better still here are their results by race; 

Here's what Nate Silver said about PPP
"A few pollsters are shameless about their herding. One of them is Public Policy Polling (PPP), a polling firm that conducts automated polls for both public consumption and for liberal and Democratic clients.
Take a look at this exchange, for example, between The New York Times’ Nate Cohn13 and PPP’s Tom Jensen. Cohn discovered that in 2012, the racial composition of PPP’s polls was correlated in an unusual way with President Obama’s performance among white voters in their surveys. 
If Obama was performing especially poorly among whites in one PPP poll, it tended to have a higher share of nonwhite voters, which boosted Obama’s result. And if Obama was doing relatively well among whites, PPP projected less nonwhite turnout, keeping his lead in check. As a result, PPP’s polls tended to show an unusually steady race between Obama and Mitt Romney.
I’m picking on PPP for a reason: They’re the biggest herders in the business. Here’s the chart I showed you before, but with only PPP’s polls highlighted. On average, in states with at least three other recent polls, their polls deviated from the polling average by only 1.6 percentage points. The evidence for herding is extremely clear visually and statistically 
The first polls conducted of Kansas after the Democratic candidate dropped out of the race were from Public Policy Polling and showed Orman ahead by 10 points. PPP’s polls can be highly inaccurate when they don’t have other polls to herd toward. In this case, however, other pollsters may have herded toward PPP, producing an incorrect consensus about the race.17

Friday, June 5, 2020

Twits on Twitter

This is why I am no longer on Twitter. Just for the record I refunded everyone who contributed to my Paypal account after I left.

 I don't need the money rather the 'Contribute" button is just for those who appreciate my analysis and wish to support it.

Exactly so;

Rasmussen: Black Voter Approval for Trump Surged to Over 40%

LOL; What have I and Larry Schweikart been saying for two years now? This is at the perhaps extreme end but there is absolutely no doubt that Black Approval of Trump is around 20%.

Translating even half of that into actual votes on election day would give Trump a landslide.

Let's see how the Black polling turns out a week or so from now but if it is still at the aggregate 16=20%, or higher after the rioting etc, a revolution may be in the offing

From PJ Media;

"Despite the left’s recent efforts to paint Trump as a racist and blame him for police brutality and the riots, Rasmussen Reports says that approval for President Trump amongst likely black voters is now over 40 percent.
Trump received 8 percent of the African American vote in 2016. In August 2019, black voter approval for Trump stood at 26 percent.
I am admittedly skeptical of Rasmussens 40 percent approval number, nevertheless, the increase of 14 points from a year ago suggests that Trump’s support from within the black community is increasing, despite the best efforts of the Democrats and the media to paint him as a racist. With the economy starting to recover, that approval is bound to increase.
Another Rasmussen poll found that one out of four black voters agreed with Joe Biden’s statement that a black voter who votes for Trump isn’t really black"

MSM Throws Kitchen Sink And "Polls" At Trump -It's Not Working

In their desperate attempt to energize Sleepy Joe and drum up support for him the MSM went into overdrive this last week with race riots, Covid, Trump hating retired army personnel nobody has heard of, and fired White House staffers all been given massive coverage 24/7.

Another tool was to have every leftist polling outfit come out at the same time with terrible "shock horror Trump's support collapses" polling. RCP generally lists  between 6-10 current polls to get their headline aggregate today runs 13 to include the endlessly anti-Trump Quinnipiac poll.

The usual suspects NPR/Reuters/CBS-notably the only "All Voters" poll which measure always shows Trump lower than Registered Voters and especially Likely Voters polling, equals the ever reliably anti-Trump Reuters at 40% approval.

Most of these polls were taken at the height of the looting, burning racial inflamed rioting where the likes of CNN went ballistic  with their apocalyptic coverage and found every possible means of linking Trump into it.

And for all their and their Dem and polling allies efforts Trump's aggregate approval rating is down 1.3 points from May 24th.

I have stated that Rasmussen, one of only two current Likely Voters polls is "the canary in the coal mine" and nearly always its running three day aggregate poll result is ahead of the pack and reflective of what is the voters current mood. Today's Rasmussen Trump 48% Approval is indicative of a trend I noticed over the last week.

Trump's approval collapsed from 46% on May 22nd  
to 42% on May 27th his lowest since December 2017
as the full force of the media coverage of the rioting hit hard on a public already reeling from Covid news and unemployment worries.  But as a measured view away from the induced hysteria took place the polling moved into the 44-46% range.

Now, as the protesting has moved from the literally inflammatory period to a more peaceful one and the all the police involved have been taken into custody allied to reassuring unemployment figures and signs of economic recovery, voters are able to judge the situation, and the president without the media smoke and mirrors. 

It is also instructive that in the Pennsylvania primaries the GOP turnout was higher than the Dems. It may well be, as I stated earlier "the cake is baked" and no matter the shock headline du jour voters have made their minds up.

Again, Rasmussen is a three day rolling aggregate and any new poll will reflect a period of the media hysteria so it will be a little while longer before a final picture of the public mood is but for the moment and as always "A week in politics is a long time" Rasmussen is once again unbiased and ahead of the pack.