Thursday, July 29, 2021

Monmouth "Biden Approval 49%" Poll Demographics GOP 26% D+7 Poll

 More garbage-same as previous garbage.


DEMOGRAPHICS (weighted)
Self-Reported
26% Republican
41% Independent
33% Democrat

"“Everyone agrees that trans women are women”."

Everyone?


"The International Olympic Committee’s medical and science director has paid tribute to New Zealand transgender weightlifter Laurel Hubbard’s “courage and tenacity’’ ahead of her Tokyo debut.

Hubbard, who transitioned in 2013, has been cleared to compete in the women’s +87kg division after meeting New Zealand Olympic Committee, International Weightlifting Federation regulations.

Dr Richard Budgett backed her inclusion at a news conference in Tokyo on Thursday, stating: “Everyone agrees that trans women are women”.

Friday, July 23, 2021

Yahoo Finance Genius Speaks-Be Warned.

 Who could ever have foreseen this?


Yahoo Finance

Analyst: A stock market pullback is 'going to happen at some point.'

Monday, July 19, 2021

@Wonkette 's Schoenkopf Captain Of A Stinking Ship? So Sad

Hopefully the garbage scow Wonkette goes the way of Gawker and takes the scum of the earth down to the depths with it..


GOOD NEWS MONDAY


The Best Way To Wipe Out Up To $10,000 Of Debt! Tabs, Mon., July 19, 2021

Oh man I am in so much credit card debt

Six Months In-10 Reasons Why Trump Was 100% Correct

 

CHINA IS THE ECONOMIC, MILITARY, AND BIOLOGICAL ENEMY

THE 2020 ELECTION COUNT WAS FULL OF ERRORS

THERE IS A REASONABLE PREMISE THAT COVID 19 ESCAPED FROM OR WAS LET LOOSE FROM A LAB IN WUHAN

BIDEN IS MENTALLY INCOMPETENT

KAMALA HARRIS IS UNFIT TO BE VICE-PRESIDENT/PRESIDENT

IT WAS RIGHT TO SACK JANET YELLEN

THE PRE-COVID ECONOMY/BLACK-HISPANIC UNEMPLOYMENT WAS THE BEST IN HISTORY

THE MEDIA IS TOTALLY, UNASHAMEDLY, BIASED

CUBA IS STILL A COMMUNIST DICTATORSHIP

BUILDING A WALL ON THE BORDER IS COMMON SENSE



Thursday, July 15, 2021

Taibbi A Voice of Reason; "Spying and Smearing is "Un-American," not Tucker Carlson

I don't always agree with Matt Taibbi of course but he has come a long way towards the middle and a voice of sanity. This is, of course, not hard to achieve given the utter partisan crazy that is the poor excuse for the media today.


Read the article in full at THE LINK 


"On Monday, June 28th, Fox host Tucker Carlson dropped a bomb mid-show, announcing he’d been approached by a “whistleblower” who told him he was being spied on by the NSA.

“The National Security Agency is monitoring our electronic communications,” he said, “and is planning to leak them in an attempt to take this show off the air.”

The reaction was swift, mocking, and ferocious. “Carlson is sounding more and more like InfoWars host and notorious conspiracy theorist, Alex Jones,” chirped CNN media analyst Brian Stelter. Vox ripped Carlson as a “serial fabulist” whose claims were “evidence-free.” The Washington Post quipped that “in a testament to just how far the credibility of Tucker Carlson Tonight has cratered,” even groups like Pen America and the Reporters Committee on the Freedom of the Press were no-commenting the story, while CNN learned from its always-reliable “people familiar with the matter” that even Carlson’s bosses at Fox didn’t believe him.

None of this was surprising. A lot of media people despise Carlson. He may be Exhibit A in the n+2 epithet phenomenon that became standard math in the Trump era, i.e. if you thought he was an “asshole” in 2015 you jumped after Charlottesville straight past racist to white supremacist, and stayed there. He’s spoken of in newsrooms in hushed tones, like a mythical monster. The paranoid rumor that he’s running for president (he’s not) comes almost entirely from a handful of editors and producers who’ve convinced themselves it’s true, half out of anxiety and half subconscious desperation to find a click-generating replacement for Donald Trump.

Enough Already With The "Stolen Election"

 At Ace of Spades HQ 'Dave In Fla' canvasses ( at http://ace.mu.nu/  then click July 12th in archives) how the 2016 election may have been "stolen" and details two scenarios. 

He then goes on to discount scenario A using all sorts of mathematical computations after running with scenario B which commences with the fantastical "Some number of votes for Biden were injected into the system, and it occurred nationally"


This is, and yes, it is correct, scenario A.

July 12, 2021

81 Million Votes [Dave in Fla]

What does this mean?

In my mind there are two possible scenarios.

Scenario A: The narrative is correct; we are just a combination of sore losers and conspiracy nuts. Trump was so toxic to so many people, that while he encouraged more people to vote for him in 2020 than in 2016 in all 50 states, he also inspired nationwide hatred and more new voters showed up to vote against him in almost every state (except the liberal bastions of California, Illinois, and New York).


Clearly, and a degree of evidence suggest that it was the case, there were errors of computation on election day. However, to extrapolate from that that there was enough malfeasance on top of the errors to  give Biden the 40,000 plus votes in WI/GA/AZ he needed to ensure his election is nonsense.

 It would involve such a large degree of management and personnel, which could not be covered up, as to make it impossible. The latest Tucker Carlson review of possible errors in Georgia (and he does not imply malfeasance) involves at most hundreds of ballots or possibly a few thousand, certainly not the 13,000 majority Biden ended up with.


By all means get rid of the incompetent administrators no matter the state and reform the system but as far as a calculated overthrowing of the 2020 election-those still holding to that should just let it go.


Nota Bene-a sensible person concurs.



Miracles And Wonders; Lib 'The Week' "Bush is a well-meaning man, but he is wrong. Donald Trump right."

 At the leftist site 'The Week''s W. JAMES ANTLE III writes something that has never been seen in the history of the lib media "Trump is right."

This in relation to G.W. Bush condemning the pullout from Afghanistan which, yes, President Trump commenced and Biden is completing.

Of course now that Trump is safely out of office a passing credit can be given to him-as long of course as it  pertains to something the Dem's, especially Biden., also have done but still, the age of miracles and wonders has not passed.


They are of course scumbag hypocrites but that's by the by


Sunday, July 11, 2021

Woke Science; "Denial of Evolution Is a Form of White Supremacy"

 

Even 'Scientific American' is now woke



"Denial of Evolution Is a Form of White Supremacy"


"The NFL's Racist 'Race Norming' Is an Afterlife of Slavery"

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Three and a half years for last chance to restore sanity




Thursday, June 24, 2021

"Are Twitter trolls mentally ill?" (Hint; Twitter has a D+40 lean)

 Via "UnHerd"


Are Twitter trolls mentally ill?

A disproportionate amount of bad online behaviour stems from psychological issues

BY 

Tuesday, June 22, 2021

Biden Has Nominated 24 Judges-Not One Of Whom is White

 Via the esteemed https://twitter.com/Wonkette


Biden has nominated 24 judges. That's a great rate; by this time in his presidency, Trump, who got his judges confirmed at record numbers, had nominated 15. Nineteen of the 24 Biden nominees are women. Most of those women are women of color. A total of zero nominees thus far are white men.

Saturday, June 5, 2021

How Much To Budget Your Stock Market Returns For?

 Working out a 10 year investment budget has always been challenging as, until recently, there has been no benchmark as to what the returns from a managed funds share portfolio might be.


Now, thanks to modern digital techniques that have examined investment returns going back to the 1790's, there is a number;


"The stock market’s has produced an inflation-adjusted total return of 6.0% annualized since 1793, according to research conducted by Edward McQuarrie, a professor emeritus at the Leavey School of Business at Santa Clara University


https://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-much-higher-will-this-bull-market-go-11617981444?mod=home-page

How To Avoid Stock Market Sleepless Nights

I had a correspondence with a noted economic advisor which I detail below;

QThe issue in share investing is your appetite for risk. But whichever one chooses — and I go for “far less volatility (and sleepless nights)” — the end result is the same.

Buy and hold or, if it suits you, get out when the 200-day moving average dips. The 200-day chart seems as infallible as such things can be.

AFor readers wondering what on earth you are talking about, everyone who invests in shares — whether directly or via a share fund or a higher-risk or other fund that holds lots of shares — has two choices around trading:

  • Buy and hold. You leave your money where it is, regardless of what the markets are doing. This should be ten-year-plus money, and you can be pretty confident the markets will have time to recover from any downturns by the time you want to spend.
  • Get in and out of the markets, hoping to avoid the downturns and be in for the upturns. This might mean cashing up or moving your money to a lower-risk fund, and returning when things look better.

I always choose buying and holding. It’s easier, and research shows that in the long run it works best.

However, people are always coming up with ways to try to predict market ups and downs, so they can win by timing their entries and exits. Our correspondent has found a system he likes, and sent me an article about it by Brett Arends on Marketwatch.com. Some excerpts:

“Money manager Meb Faber worked out years ago that pretty much every stock market crash or bear market in history has been signaled in advance.

“If you just cashed out when the market index first fell below its 200-day moving average, you avoided nearly all the carnage. (OK, in the sudden 1987 one-day crash you got all of a single day’s notice.)

“Even if you didn’t end up making more money in the long term than a buy-and-hold investor, he found, you made pretty much the same amount … and with far less ‘volatility’ (and sleepless nights).”

Arends continued, “Last year this trigger got you out of the S&P 500 (the main US share index) on March 2, just before the main implosion. The market rose above the 200-day moving average again, triggering it was time to get back in, on June 1.”

I looked back at those dates. The strategy meant you skipped nearly three quarters of the Covid plunge. You sold when the index had fallen to 3,090, missed the bigger drop to 2,237, and came back in at 3,056.

That’s tidy. But it doesn’t actually gain you anything — especially after you take any trading costs into account, as well as the bother of watching the 200-day chart. It would have been much more impressive if you had re-entered the market near its trough.

And what about the 1987 exception — one of the biggest share crashes?

The thing is that Arends, and our correspondent, seem to think the alternative to timing the markets is tossing and turning through downturns. But buying and holding doesn’t have to mean sleepless nights. It can mean ignoring the markets, and reading novels instead.

Sure, you can’t escape the talk during a big downturn. But I just look up from my book and say, “Here we go again. I’ll just sit tight and it will come right.” And it always done."

In further correspondence following publication I added;

I was delighted to read your analysis of how the example of selling and buying I provided actually worked out. This confirmed that both methods work and bring peace of mind with the difference shown that your book reading method would gain you a bit higher returns than my method. It also shows that personality types will still do their own thing regardless of a slight disadvantage-I actually enjoy following the S&P500 moving average index, it's not a chore, rather it adds a soupcon of smugness :-) (when it works out of course)

As you have pointed out before we humans are odd-my ​stocks​ went up $1k this week which I appreciated but didn't rejoice over, after all, how much can $1k make to ones life in sum-but when it goes down, even $500, the "unenjoyment" is palpable!

LINKS;

Wednesday, May 12, 2021

The Fed Rules The World-And You Are Stuffed

 

"The next year or so will show if there is, or ever was, "the laws of economics" or if a new paradigm is in place and the textbooks have to be tossed aside.

We shall see how the laws of economics hold up against US$2trillion of Reserve Bank created money on top of the trillion already spent and the 2 trillion of infrastructure spending to come, all this at a time when the economy is recovering anyway as Covid winds down. 

We shall see, as orthodoxy advises, if the massive circulation of money equals inflation, whether there actually is a "low level of unemployment that will cause inflation" and if there actually is no level of deficit spending and money creation that will cause inflation anymore when the creator of money is also the world's reserve currency-so far inflation, at a level to cause economic disruption, is utterly dead."


I said that we shall find out if classic economics has been upended-the answer has come sooner than I expected. The massive Fed money printing has fed through into inflation. Corn, a basic staple, is up 50% and the crazy situation is a massive labor shortage causing supply chain bottlenecks (as people are, rightly, happy to earn more in handouts than they can get in low paying jobs) with a rise in the unemployment rate! 

When this feeds into mortgages the pain will be severe for those who have borrowed so heavily against the crazy rise in house prices. The Fed rules the world, when they get it wrong everyone suffers.


I can understand financial ignorance and financial greed but can't comprehend how, as attached, numerous professional financial advisors can, over and over, pursue "14% p.a. continuous returns year after year from "Master of the Universe" and take down "high net worth individuals who have blocked their names" as well as establishments all of whom should know better and have endless examples going back to Bernie Madoff.

Managed funds  and one's own home are, over time, the best- for those who can invest.



This latest and surely most comprehensive research might interest as it gives an apparent final figure on stock market returns.



"The stock market’s has produced an inflation-adjusted total return of 6.0% annualized since 1793, according to research conducted by Edward McQuarrie, a professor emeritus at the Leavey School of Business at Santa Clara University.

Monday, May 10, 2021

The Meaning Of Life

 Having a child then having the child marry are the first two steps to mellow. On becoming a grandparent, although one is aware of the cycle of life after the first two steps the full dawning comes when one actually becomes a grandparent.

 At that point psychologically one becomes fully aware with a depth that is unobtainable prior (of course when young there is barely any recognition except in moments of health problems but that is diminished as one is focused on one's own situation).

 A feeling of having done one's job genetically and parenting comes in and it is very very satisfying. One becomes an observer rather than a full participant in life and the trials, tribulations and foibles of one's offspring is viewed avuncularly.

 

In my experience if one can get through life with a bit of dignity intact and has a loving family then that's the best one can do. When young of course there is the struggle and challenge of suitable employment, finding a partner and striving to achieve as whatever societies current mores and striving dictate.

 

The reality is that achieving a degree of financial comfort and if possible job satisfaction while maintaining key relationships is all that matters (with faith as an adjunct). 

 

If Bill Gates and Bezos with all their billions and worldly success can't maintain their relationships that's all you need to know about the pursuit of wealth and fame-it's a chimera.

 


Friday, May 7, 2021

Woke Tide is Turning At Last

Coming to all countries in due course-people have had enough;


 UK Labour Crushed


"Criticising Sir Keir Starmer for failing to listen to voters, Mr Mahmood said: "A London-based bourgeoisie, with the support of brigades of woke social media warriors, has effectively captured the party.

"They mean well, of course, but their politics – obsessed with identity, division and even tech utopianism – have more in common with those of Californian high society than the kind of people who voted in Hartlepool yesterday.

"The loudest voices in the Labour movement over the past year, in particular, have focused more on pulling down Churchill’s statue than they have on helping people pull themselves up in the world..

Monday, March 1, 2021

The Solution To "Racist" Math-Urban And Rural Math

You may have seen the, surely insane, woke answer to racist math;

"The Oregon Department of Education (ODE) recently encouraged teachers to register for training that encourages "ethnomathematics" and argues, among other things, that White supremacy manifests itself in the focus on finding the right answer."

I won't attempt to parody this madness, those much better qualified for that sort of thing have done that;

John Hoge has a question:


I wonder how many of the education bureaucrats who are promoting the course would object to the calculations on their paychecks being done on the basis of 2 + 2 = 3.

and, frankly, it is beyond parody being utterly pathetic.

But, believe it or not the concept has found a defender in one Lance Cummings PhD;

"But how we teach math can support the racist structures within a society that has been geared towards a particular race and culture for centuries."

"White supremacy culture shows up in math classrooms when the focus is getting the “right” answer. The concept of mathematics being purely objective is unequivocally false, and teaching it is even much less so."

You can read the rest of his remarkable essay HERE

But I will quote one of his remarkable solutions to removing white superiority racism in math which is, apparently, to address the math curriculum regionally.


For the suburbs-thusly;

"A food truck sells salads for $6.50 each and drinks $2.00 each. The food truck’s revenue from selling a total of 209 salads and drinks in one day was $836.50. How many salads were sold that day?

 

For the white rural community-thusly; 

"Wyatt can husk at least 12 dozen ears of corn per hour. Based on this information, what is a possible amount of time, in hours, that it could take Wyatt to husk 72 dozen ears of corn.

As a Midwesterner who grew up in a rural, mostly white community, these word problems seem perfectly natural. But an urban youth might not even know about corn husks. Or an indigenous student might come from a community that functions on a bartering system. These problems make assumptions about the “right way” of doing things with math that are invisible to most privileged persons in the United States."

And for the Black urban majority community thusly;

"Most people don’t know that the Black Panthers started the first free-lunch program in the US. Though J. Edgar Hoover and the FBI tried to sabotage these efforts, President Nixon increased funding and extended it to all youth. What if we translated one of the above word problems with this alternate context?

Pretend you are running the Black Panthers’ free-lunch program. Each meal costs $1.50 and drinks are $.50. You’ve received $2000 from President Nixon’s free lunch grant. How many students can you feed?

Now the word problem isn’t about making money; it is about helping people … and the context potentially teaches us something new about an underrepresented history."

Problem solved!



Rabid Foaming At Mouth leftist @mattyglesias Wants "Grand Compromise Now. He Can get Stuffed

 And yes, he blocked me of course;

A Grand Bargain on Wages and Immigration?

If Democrats want to raise the federal minimum wage, they’re going to have to work with Republicans 

@mattyglesias
Follow

Sunday, February 28, 2021

Kristi Noem For President?-For Humanity's Sake No

 

It's about three years before any meaningful analysis of who the next, realistic, GOP presidential candidates might be but of course the media and especially the conservative blogs, as per below examples, are setting out their favorites now.

That in the real world this has probably little meaning is by the by. Remember "Jeb is a lock for 2016" and countless other examples. Of course nobody knows what the political, economic and social situation will look like in early 2024 or who will be the president that year-Harris or Biden.

But a word on Governor Kristi Noem. I don't have a dog in the hunt except to advise that if President Donald Grover Cleveland Trump is renominated I would support him fully. 

As for Noem's proposed candidacy I would caution against it for common humanity's sake and for realistic political reasons.

Presuming Kamala Harris is the Dem's nominee running a white women from a 3 Electoral vote state is electorally sub-optimal. 

Every statement she would make, every policy proposal would be run through the MSM entirely through the prism of "Racism." The near total lock on Black female voters would be adamantine and the, crucial, overall black vote shift to the GOP from 2008's nadir would be halted if not reversed.

As for common humanity I would fear for Noem, or any female Republican candidate for president.

 The examples of how the media and the hate blogosphere used every mechanism, no matter how false, degrading and disgusting to attack Sarah Palin and Michele Bachmann (and currently Marjorie Taylor Green) would not, for her and her family's sake, make a run worthwhile in the long term for her personal well being.

In my opinion, apart from Trump, the GOP's best choice on purely Electoral College considerations, would be Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina (with the added benefit of keeping "Nikki" Haley off of the ticket as two candidates from the same state can't run together. 

Scott cancels the race card and might increase Black male support while winning Georgia and keeping Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin in play. Noem for VP? Sure, why not, it's a well balanced ticket in all respects



John Hinderaker at Powerline


KRISTI NOEM AT CPAC

Featured imageEarlier today, South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem spoke at CPAC. Regular readers know that I am a fan of hers. She grew up on a farm near my home town and has become an intellectual leader of the conservative movement. In a year when pretty much everyone knuckled under to authoritarianism in the face of an alleged emergency, she stood tall for freedom.

And at Twitchy

‘What I did is tell my people the TRUTH’: Gov. Kristi Noem DROPS Dr. Fauci for accusing her of ignoring medical advice and it’s GLORIOUS


OANN top headline;

Thursday, February 18, 2021

Bye Nikki And Good Riddance "She’s TOAST: Nikki Haley tries patching things up with Trump after she crapped on him in January and he ain’t havin’ any of it"

Via Twitchy  Nikki stabbed the wrong person in the back


"This editor used to adore Nikki Haley.

True story. Tough as nails, direct, fearless at the UN … but then she tried to save her own skin and dumped on Trump in January. And hey, we get it, a lot of people were jumping ship when the Left was working overtime to paint Trump as some sort of evil authoritarian inspiring an insurrection but trying to wiggle her way back in?

Yeah.

Not a great idea, Nikki."


Scoop: Nikki Haley tried to get a meeting with Trump yesterday but he turned her down, even despite her apparent attempt to patch things up through a @WSJ op-ed yesterday