Friday, August 6, 2021

Quinnipiac "Biden Apro 47%" Has The Worst 2020 Pollster Had An Epiphany After Humiliation?

 Quinnipiac the "Nate Silver A rated gold standard" was the worst poll of 2020 and the most Dem leaning poll.

After all these years of being biased, incompetent and blatantly Dem centered have they found God? Seems so, although whether that will hold in 2022 and more importantly 2024 is to be seen, but for the moment it appears the light of common sense has pierced their thinking.

In the latest polling aggregate report from Real Clear Politics Quinnipiac has Biden at only 47% approval. This is the lowest RV rating for Biden from any on the RCP list since polling began. 

Not only is this remarkable given Quinnipiac's sorry history but it is below Rasmussen which is chided by the left as being in the GOP's pocket (which they are not of course).

In all Quinnipiac's Biden polling they have never had him above 52%, and just once at that figure, in contrast to ludicrous "polls" from the likes of The Hill/HarrisX who had Biden at 61%.

Clearly Quinnipiac have made an attempt to get their act together and slough off their incompetence and bias-will this continue, let's hope so, but I don't see their demographic D-R numbers which if hidden is a bad sign.

Let's take a look at the 2020 history which will not be far from their previous years except in the level of how bad they were. 

I wrote a seminal anlysis of Dem polling distortion which showed an average Dem lean of 7.2% with Quinnipiac using a D+10 demographic which is ridiculous. Rasmussen a supposed "GOP pollster" uses D+4 and 2020 exit polls were D+1


"Yes, The Quinnipiac Poll Likely Is Biased Against Trump" 

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Quinnipiac’s Pollster  

refuses to say he'll resign after botching 2020 election polls"

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Final Quinnipiac poll Biden 50%   Trump  39%  BIDEN +11

Actual result  Biden 51.2   Trump  46.7               BIDEN +4.5


Fourteen polls got the Maine Senate race wrong. One Quinnipiac poll gave Democrat Sara Gideon a 12-point lead over incumbent Republican Susan Collins. Collins won the race by 8.6 points

Quinnipiac poll: 11/3/20 Florida: Likely voters Biden 47% Trump 42% they were off by 8.4 points Ohio: Likely voters Biden 47% Trump 43% National: Likely voters Biden 50% Trump 39%

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BIDEN WIDENS LEAD OVER TRUMP TO 15 POINTS IN PRESIDENTIAL RACE, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS; TRUMP JOB APPROVAL RATING DROPS TO 36 PERCENT


In South Carolina, Quinnipiac predicted Sen. Lindsey Graham and Democratic challenger Jaime Harrison were tied 48 – 48 percent multiple times, but Graham won by approximately 11 percentage points.

Quinnipiac’s prediction for the Maine Senate seat was also off after the organization predicted that incumbent Republican Sen. Susan Collins would lose to her Democratic challenger Sara Gideon by 12 percentage points. Collins, however, won the race by approximately 8 percentage points.




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