UPDATE#3 70% Think He'll Be Nominee;Trump's Polls Holds 23 point Lead Reuters; Massive Leads In New Hampshire, Georgia Indiana

UPDATE#3

A new Rasmussen Poll finds 70 percent of Republican voters saying they believe Donald Trump will be the Republican nominee for President.

UPDATE#2 Reuters/Ipsos

Exclusive: Trump lead among Republicans undiminished in first poll after Muslim comments

WASHINGTON/NEW YORK (Reuters) - Donald Trump held onto his commanding lead in the Republican race for the White House after his call for a ban on Muslims entering the United States was condemned worldwide, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll, the first national survey conducted entirely after the billionaire's remarks.

Trump’s December Poll Numbers Matter "almost every election since 1952,leader in GOP polls in fall ended up nominee” http://time.com/4136867/donald-trump-december-polls/ …

ATLANTA — 

A new Channel 2 Action News poll of Georgia Republicans shows that voters support 

Donald Trump over any other candidate for the 2016 election.

The poll also shows that support for Dr. Ben Carson has dropped significantly in the state in the past two month.

• We’re digging into the brand new numbers and will show you what percentage of voters support Trump’s controversial plan for Muslim immigration for Channel 2 Action News starting at 4.

Channel 2’s Lori Geary broke the results Friday morning, released by Landmark/Rosetta Stone.

The new results show that 43 percent of GOP voters support Trump with Ted Cruz in a distant second place with 16 percent. Marco Rubio comes in third with 11 percent.

Carson, who was at 18 percent in September, now is at 7 percent. Jeb Bush stands at 5 percent support.

Note Trump has 56% of African American support in the crosstabs Cruz far back at 12.5%

Low numbers polled but percentage impressive

New New Hampshire poll Trump 16 point lead;Media heavy lifted Christie to 2nd-endless "Christie surge" articles next http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nh/new_hampshire_republican_presidential_primary-3350.html …

9 POINT LEAD IN INDIANA IN MASSIVE SAMPLE

Huffington Post "Romney Endorsement Trump Card For Establishment." But Palin Trumps Romney

Writing at "Huffington Post Politics" which site had the embarrassment of having to admit they were wrong to put Donald Trump on the "entertainment pages" ( and what a condescending foolish move that was), Scott Conroy and Sam Stein see Mitt Romney as the last gasp antidote to Trump.
"Mitt Romney Could Stop Donald Trump. Seriously."

That they see Trump as having an "increasingly viable path to the nomination' is another in the tortured and tortuous admission path where the media started off by considering Trump "a joke a buffoon" grossly underestimating the sullen mood of the American public-but such is the arrogant and conspiratorial media.

The writers admit the obvious, that there is no call for a Romney candidacy, which idea is just silly, and anyway it's too late to mount such a quixotic adventure. Rather they see Romney as the last firewall to the steamrolling Trump campaign;


"But even from the sidelines, Romney holds serious leverage over the direction of the Republican primary -- more sway than many of the candidates themselves. And that's especially true in the first-in-the-nation primary state of New Hampshire, where he remains particularly popular among the GOP rank and file."

If Romney were to get involved in the last month before the [New Hampshire] primary and say, ‘Listen, there are a lot of great people in this race, but Candidate X is the person I’m going to stand with, I think the earned media would be tremendous,” said one high-level New Hampshire Republican strategist, who, like other sources in this story, requested anonymity in order to speak more candidly. “And if he decided not only to go in to endorse, but also hit the road with that candidate, it could be determinative.”

“He would be, more than anyone else, the game-changer on the ground in New Hampshire,” the strategist added."

Leaving aside that at the moment Trump has a massive 18 point lead in New Hampshire currently which fact staggers the imagination that a Romney endorsement could be "determinative" in overcoming such a margin, writing in the Washington examiner Timpthy P. Carney goes the other way, and sees Trump not even a factor! leaving that aside as well (to be resurrected in early February to Mr, Carney's chagrin) he otherwise makes a salient point;

"the only polls that really matter are the polls of Iowa and New Hampshire. Why? Because the results in Iowa and New Hampshire affect voters in the later states." 

It is difficult to see how Governor Romney would by his endorsement change matters to the establishments benefit in Iowa. where the leaders are Trump, Cruz and Carson. It would seem no amount of retail campaign by Romney with his anointed would make  jot of difference in a state where he lost to Rick Santorum, and the Evangelicals would appear even more immune to his entreaties in 2016.

However, let us suppose that a desperate GOP Establishment persuaded Romney to endorse and campaign in these two states which do indeed "affect voters in later states" (but not as much as Mr. Carney imagines given Newt Gingrich's landslide in third up South Carolina in 2012).

If, somehow, Romney's endorsed candidate was making significant headway in Iowa, and New Hampshire started to look promising, then Trump has a trump card. If there is one person in America whose standing with the Tea Party and Evangelicals is so clear and so strong it is Sarah Palin.

if she,  like the in the Conroy/Stein scenario made a dramatic endorsement announcement with Trump in Iowa and campaigned with him, only the dullest of imaginations, or the most hidebound dogmatic Establishment figure (or dedicated Palin hater) could not imagine that Trump would not get a boost big enough to overcome whatever Romney may have brought to his charge. A subsequent momentum driven big win New Hampshire (where Palin might not play such a major role) could the be followed up by  landslide in South Carolina, again with Palin's help, which would most likely ensure Trump's momentum to the nomination.

That the left is keeping up it's endless orchestrated attacks on Palin via the UniteBlue radical faction, and various major blogs/media shows that they are well aware of her power-no matter how much the pretend to say she is "irrelevant.' That this latent endorsement power could counter any last minute Establishment moves via Romney is a very real factor. That Palin might actually do such a thing-well a picture is worth a thousand words;

35% To 42%;Donald Trump's Continued Poll Ascendancy 12/10/15

UPDATE; "national poll of American 18 to 29-year-olds (2,011) by Harvard’s Institute
of Politics finds Donald Trump (22%) leads GOP field."

“For 15 years, the IOP has polled Millennials, the largest generation in U.S. history,” said Harvard Institute of Politics Director Maggie Williams."



Continuing on from the previous two days huge polls for Donald Trump he continues to solidify his position nationally and in the various states.

Today CBS poll which is a telephone interview poll so can't be ignored by the media as a"not-legitimate internet poll" see Trump at 35%. This puts the lie to the pundits latest barrier 'Trump has a 25%-30% ceiling. Not only has he passed that in the four latest polls but his aggregate polling average at Real Clear Politics is above 30% and rising.

This is even more marked in the Huffington Post aggregate polling which includes all polls.

In the states, continuing Trump's dominance in New Hampshire Iowa and North Carolina a new Winthrop poll has him comfortable ahead. Again the RCP South Carolina aggregate confirms this.

Media/Establishment hopes are dashed;Rubio falls 8 points in as manydays Bush 0.01% from missing debate Christie on 3% Fiorina 1% …

Update#4 Donald Trump's Incredible Poll Days.Massive Leads Nationwide & South Carolina/ New Hampshire/North Carolina

UPDATE#4
Massive lead in South Carolina

(Via Fox News) Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton have commanding leads in the race for their parties’ nominations in South Carolina, according to the latest Fox News poll.

It’s no wonder Trump is leading.  He’s ahead among both those who prioritize national security and economic issues.  He’s the top pick among voters on the two most important candidate qualities — strong leader and, to a lesser degree, honest and trustworthy.  Plus, he’s considered the most electable — by a lot.

[…]  The poll, released Wednesday, was conducted Saturday through Tuesday evenings.  Trump made provocative remarks Monday about barring Muslims from entering the United States.

It looks like his comments help him in South Carolina.  Support for Trump increased eight points after his statement — from 30 percent the first two nights vs. 38 percent the last two nights.  The shift is within the margin of sampling error.

Republican pollster Daron Shaw says, “There are enough people in the last two nights of the sample to question the widespread assumption that Trump’s comments will hurt him among GOP primary voters.”  Shaw conducts the Fox News Poll with Democratic pollster Chris Anderson.   (read more)

[Q5-12 IF REPUBLICAN PRIMARY IN Q1, N=437]

5.

I’m going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Republican nomination. Ifthe Republican presidential primary were held today, which one of the following wouldyou support?

[IF NOT SURE, ASK:

Well, if you had to decide today, which one wouldyou choose?

]

[RANDOMIZE LIST][SKIP AND CODE AS Daggregate averages and GOP debate status) poll in a row puts Donald Trump at 27% between 10-14 points ahead

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html …

For  two "telephone interview" polls to both have the same figure, 27% ,  shows a remarkable degree of concurrence.

Poll of poll RCP averages; Trump 27% Jeb/Christie/Fiorina/Kasich/Paul/Huckabee/Santorum COMBINED 14.4%

1 hour ago

Jeb Bush 0.04 away from being assigned to the junior debate.

1 hour agoJeb Bush is 0.04% away from being assigned to the junior debate

In what must be a body blow to the media and the GOP Establishment and The toughest headline CNN ever had to write;"Poll: Donald Trump nearly doubles lead in New Hampshire" The CNN report could not be presented more stoney-faced. As they advise in video the clipThe CNN New Hampshire poll with massive Trump lead wastaken BEFORE San Bernardino tragedyhttp://edition.cnn.com/2015/12/08/politics/donald-trump-poll-new-hampshire/index.html …

Trump has simply blown away the opposition in New Hampshire

"Washington (CNN)Donald Trump has a growing lead among likely primary voters in New Hampshire, and both he and Marco Rubio have gained ground in the state since September, according to a new CNN/WMUR poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.

Overall, 32% say they support Trump (up 6 points since September), with Rubio a distant second place with 14% (up 5 points). That 18-point lead is almost double the 10-point lead Trump held in September over businesswoman Carly Fiorina.

New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie holds third place in the new poll with 9%, followed closely by former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (8%), Ohio Gov. John Kasich (7%), Texas Sen. Ted Cruz (6%), and both businesswoman Carly Fiorina and former neurosurgeon Ben Carson at 5%. Fiorina has dropped 11 points since the September poll."

And in North Carolina another Trump landslide 17 points ahead of Cruz

Inthe latest Reuters IPSOS 5 day tracking Poll Trump extends his massive lead to 20 points.

Obama And Media's Forgotten Terrorist Attack Of 12/12 Against Christian Conservatives And Palin

Writing "American Thinker" Ben Voth in his article 'President Obama's Theophobia" Voth considers what he sees as Obama's (and his enablers) deep commitment to secular values.

"By refusing to confront his fears about Jews, Christians, and Muslims, he consigns our policies against terrorism to inevitable failure and inflammation of the problem." 

In canvassing this, which he does with great insights Voth also considers the extent to which Obama and the media dismiss any notion of terrorism against conservatives and especially Christian conservative women, with Governor Palin as a major example;

Ben Voth:
"It is appropriate that as we approach the anniversary of December 12, we think more carefully about this administration’s theophobia.  What happened on December 12?  Apparently nothing of note.  But on that date in 2008, barely one month after the election that brought President Obama to power, the church of Sarah Palin was burned around the entire perimeter, with women and children inside.  

This Rwandan-style political hate crime was not investigated by the Justice Department.  The crime was the climax of a season of intense ridicule and personal attacks against Sarah Palin, designed to make sure she and everyone like her would be silent going forward.  

President-elect Obama made no public rebuke of the crime.  Firefighters fought the blaze with temperatures more than 10 below zero outside.  When I tell students about this today, rarely do I encounter anyone who is even aware of the crime.
Our silence and that of the media signifies a gateway of political violence.  It is okay to view people like Sarah Palin as enemies.  It is okay to engage in terrorism against such women.  

It is okay for the media not to comment or editorialize against such terrorizing crimes.  Internationally, Christians are not acknowledged as the victims of genocide in Iraq and Syria.  The president refuses to prioritize victims of genocide, pretending that such a priority is somehow un-American or discriminatory.  Refusing to admit these victims in greater numbers is the discriminatory act by the administration. "

The utter dismissal of such a terrible, in fact possibly cataclysmic hate crime by President Obama and the mass media is a terrible stain on Obama's "legacy" and a major contributor to the fall of the mass leftist media whilst enabling the rise, in fury  of the Tea Party.

Everything president Obama and the media says in respect of terrorism in America must be viewed through the distorted prism of their utter failure on 12/12/08





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