Tuesday, December 8, 2015

Update#4 Donald Trump's Incredible Poll Days.Massive Leads Nationwide & South Carolina/ New Hampshire/North Carolina

UPDATE#4
Massive lead in South Carolina
(Via Fox News) Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton have commanding leads in the race for their parties’ nominations in South Carolina, according to the latest Fox News poll.
It’s no wonder Trump is leading.  He’s ahead among both those who prioritize national security and economic issues.  He’s the top pick among voters on the two most important candidate qualities — strong leader and, to a lesser degree, honest and trustworthy.  Plus, he’s considered the most electable — by a lot.
[…]  The poll, released Wednesday, was conducted Saturday through Tuesday evenings.  Trump made provocative remarks Monday about barring Muslims from entering the United States.
It looks like his comments help him in South Carolina.  Support for Trump increased eight points after his statement — from 30 percent the first two nights vs. 38 percent the last two nights.  The shift is within the margin of sampling error.
Republican pollster Daron Shaw says, “There are enough people in the last two nights of the sample to question the widespread assumption that Trump’s comments will hurt him among GOP primary voters.”  Shaw conducts the Fox News Poll with Democratic pollster Chris Anderson.   (read more)

[Q5-12 IF REPUBLICAN PRIMARY IN Q1, N=437]
5.
I’m going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Republican nomination. Ifthe Republican presidential primary were held today, which one of the following wouldyou support?
[IF NOT SURE, ASK:
Well, if you had to decide today, which one wouldyou choose?
]
[RANDOMIZE LIST][SKIP AND CODE AS Daggregate averages and GOP debate status) poll in a row puts Donald Trump at 27% between 10-14 points ahead
For  two "telephone interview" polls to both have the same figure, 27% ,  shows a remarkable degree of concurrence.

 Poll of poll RCP averages; Trump 27% Jeb/Christie/Fiorina/Kasich/Paul/Huckabee/Santorum COMBINED 14.4%
1 hour ago
Jeb Bush 0.04 away from being assigned to the junior debate.
1 hour agoJeb Bush is 0.04% away from being assigned to the junior debate

 In what must be a body blow to the media and the GOP Establishment and The toughest headline CNN ever had to write;"Poll: Donald Trump nearly doubles lead in New Hampshire" The CNN report could not be presented more stoney-faced. As they advise in video the clipThe CNN New Hampshire poll with massive Trump lead wastaken BEFORE San Bernardino tragedy
Trump has simply blown away the opposition in New Hampshire

"Washington (CNN)Donald Trump has a growing lead among likely primary voters in New Hampshire, and both he and Marco Rubio have gained ground in the state since September, according to a new CNN/WMUR poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.
Overall, 32% say they support Trump (up 6 points since September), with Rubio a distant second place with 14% (up 5 points). That 18-point lead is almost double the 10-point lead Trump held in September over businesswoman Carly Fiorina.
New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie holds third place in the new poll with 9%, followed closely by former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (8%), Ohio Gov. John Kasich (7%), Texas Sen. Ted Cruz (6%), and both businesswoman Carly Fiorina and former neurosurgeon Ben Carson at 5%. Fiorina has dropped 11 points since the September poll."
And in North Carolina another Trump landslide 17 points ahead of Cruz


Inthe latest Reuters IPSOS 5 day tracking Poll Trump extends his massive lead to 20 points.

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