Sunday, November 22, 2015

Media To Admit Defeat? Two New Non-Online Polls Give Trump Massive 10 point leads

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Surely, surely the media and the pundits have to now admit what has been obvious to everyone else for a long time-Donald Trump is not only the front runner he is very much so.

Massive turnouts for him everywhere he goes,crowd sizes any other candidate would be proud to have half of must now make the scales drop from even the blindest and most prejudiced of eyes.


"Poll: Trump retakes lead, Cruz surges in IA; Rubio second in NH:"


The last  fortress for the Establishment has been that Trump's large poll leads were "not valid because they were internet polls. Well; that has been blown away by the ABC and Fox telephone/interview polls released today.

Trump/Carson/Cruz are 59% of GOP polling. The media/Establishment really should stop embarrassing themselves

Media favorite Rubio continues to make no traction no matter how hard they push him and Establishment hopes Jeb and Kasich languish. FROM; HUFFINGTON POST POLLSTER


And the trend line makes the gap even starker-calling Megyn Kelly!


And in the state polls it's a field day for Trump from REAL CLEAR POLITICS

Poll media hides.Trump gains 20 points lead Hillary by 5 Nov 4. Hillary 56% Trump 41% Today Trump 46% Hillary 41%

  Under the next debate guidelines it appears only Trump/Carson/Rubio/Cruz/Bush will be in the main debate.Fiorina right on the cusp at 3.5%

Friday, November 20, 2015

UPDATE November 20th Astounding New Poll Trump 38.8%; Trump's 4 Months At The Top Of The Polls

UPDATE; Astounding new Ipsos Reuters 5 day tracking poll
Trump 38.8%  Carson 14.7%



July 20th 2015 Donald Trump moves into first place in the Real Clear Politics aggregate "Poll of Polls" for the first time.

Except for two days and by less than half a percent for that minuscule period, Trump has lead the field against all comers.

No matter who the media and an increasingly shrill and desperate GOP establishment pumps up Trump has seen them off. Perry then, and especially Walker rose and fell and vanished. Fiorina was the media's next push after her "crushing debate performance. She went from 1% to 13% and is now back almost where she started from and why she is still in the running is mystery. Jindal has gone, and the back of the pack are in a hopeless situation.

The media has now decided that Marco Rubio is their best chance after Kasich and Jeb bombed on them (they certainly don't want Carson or Cruz) and Trump will see him off in due course.

The pundits like Dana (I will eat my column if Trump is the nominee) Milbank and Philip Bump have come off looking like utter fools with their initial gross condescension to Trump and their ilk now have little to say except "when the field narrows down Trump will lose" Unfortunately for them this new Reuters poll explodes that concept.

 (Trump 43%/Carson 26%/Rubio 25% if they were the only candidates)


The poll pundits and especially Nate Silver's 538.com look the silliest whith their seeming endless graphs and charts produced by the erroneously named "Forecaster Enten" (Harry Enten) which showed candidates inprevious campaigns (Gingrich/Santorum etc) rising and falling which fate was confidently proposed for Trump.

Well here he is on November 20th his fourth in a row month as kingpin!










Thursday, November 19, 2015

"If it came down to Trump Carson or Rubio who would you vote for?" The poll that destroys the pundits/GOP Establishment

The Establishment pundits, having been frustrated at seeing their predictions that "Trump will fade away" constantly thwarted now fall back on;'when the field narrows Trump will be brushed aside"

Unfortunately for them according to a new Reuters Ipsos poll which addressed exactly that situation Trump stays not only in first place but decidedly so.

This result is the GOP Establishment and the Beltway pundits worse nightmare;

Republicans; Trump 43% Carson 26% Rubio 25%







Update Oklahoma Trump Leads By 9 ; Four New National Polls All Have Trump leading. RCP Aggregate lead increases

UPDATE; NEW OKLAHOMA POLL Trump 27 Carson 18  Trump + 9





From Democratic polling company PPP's live/phone poll


PPP's first look at the Republican Presidential race nationally in six weeks finds that things haven't actually changed all that much since early October. Donald Trump leads the field with 26%, to 19% for Ben Carson. Trump and Carson were first and second on our last poll as well at 27% and 17% respectively. Also getting solid amounts of support are Ted Cruz at 14% and Marco Rubio at 13%. No one else in the GOP field even gets more than 5%- Jeb Bush reaches that mark followed by Carly Fiorina and Mike Huckabee at 4%, Chris Christie and John Kasich at 3%, Rand Paul at 2%, Lindsey Graham and George Pataki at 1%, and Jim Gilmore, Bobby Jindal, and Rick Santorum all at less than 1%.

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In the Real Clear Politics aggregate "Poll of Polls" of selected polling companies Trump is Starting to trend upwards again and lead over Carson increases


RCP aggregate of five most recent non-online polls. Blue trend line turns upwards again.

Huffington Posts' Aggregation includes all polls Online and phone.The trend line is sharply upwards for Trump



HuffingtonPosts's latest polls. Note the very low number of Republicans in the Bloomberg poll. This sample size always shows a lower support for Trump although he still leads




Finally the "Pollof all Polls" the aggregate of RCP and Huffington Post gives Trump 27.95 to Carson's 21.8%
Trump +6.95

Tuesday, November 17, 2015

#5 UPDATE; Trump Leads In 5 National Inc.PPP Polls 9 State Polls & Vs.Hillary

Update#5 Finally a new nationwide poll from PPP (D) and Trump still in first place

PPP's first look at the Republican Presidential race nationally in six weeks finds that things haven't actually changed all that much since early October. Donald Trump leads the field with 26%, to 19% for Ben Carson. Trump and Carson were first and second on our last poll as well at 27% and 17% respectively. Also getting solid amounts of support are Ted Cruz at 14% and Marco Rubio at 13%. No one else in the GOP field even gets more than 5%- Jeb Bush reaches that mark followed by Carly Fiorina and Mike Huckabee at 4%, Chris Christie and John Kasich at 3%, Rand Paul at 2%, Lindsey Graham and George Pataki at 1%, and Jim Gilmore, Bobby Jindal, and Rick Santorum all at less than 1%.



UPDATE #4
New Morning Consult Polls


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Third New Hampshire Poll today with Trump well in the lead

Fox News Poll: Trump rules GOP race in New Hampshire

Donald Trump leads the race for the Republican nomination in New Hampshire, while Bernie Sanders edges Hillary Clinton among Democrats.
That’s according to the latest Fox News poll, released Wednesday, and conducted since Friday’s terrorist attacks in Paris.
Trump leads with 27 percent of New Hampshire Republican primary voters.  Marco Rubio receives the support of 13 percent, just above Ted Cruz at 11 percent.  That’s it for the double-digit candidates.












Update#2

Trump takes 9-point lead over Carson





UPDATE; New Reuters Ipsos 5 day Tracking Poll to November 17th
+100% lead over Carson 25 points ahead of Rubio







The just released Huffington Post Poll Tracker with the Morning Consult and Ipsos Reuters Polls to Nov 11th speaks for itself. As always the trendline is the key as Trump ascends and Carson declines whilst the media favorite Rubio goes nowhere



And in New Hampshire Trump +17