Thursday, November 19, 2015

Update Oklahoma Trump Leads By 9 ; Four New National Polls All Have Trump leading. RCP Aggregate lead increases

UPDATE; NEW OKLAHOMA POLL Trump 27 Carson 18  Trump + 9

From Democratic polling company PPP's live/phone poll

PPP's first look at the Republican Presidential race nationally in six weeks finds that things haven't actually changed all that much since early October. Donald Trump leads the field with 26%, to 19% for Ben Carson. Trump and Carson were first and second on our last poll as well at 27% and 17% respectively. Also getting solid amounts of support are Ted Cruz at 14% and Marco Rubio at 13%. No one else in the GOP field even gets more than 5%- Jeb Bush reaches that mark followed by Carly Fiorina and Mike Huckabee at 4%, Chris Christie and John Kasich at 3%, Rand Paul at 2%, Lindsey Graham and George Pataki at 1%, and Jim Gilmore, Bobby Jindal, and Rick Santorum all at less than 1%.


In the Real Clear Politics aggregate "Poll of Polls" of selected polling companies Trump is Starting to trend upwards again and lead over Carson increases

RCP aggregate of five most recent non-online polls. Blue trend line turns upwards again.

Huffington Posts' Aggregation includes all polls Online and phone.The trend line is sharply upwards for Trump

HuffingtonPosts's latest polls. Note the very low number of Republicans in the Bloomberg poll. This sample size always shows a lower support for Trump although he still leads

Finally the "Pollof all Polls" the aggregate of RCP and Huffington Post gives Trump 27.95 to Carson's 21.8%
Trump +6.95