Jews To The Write Of Me, Jews To The Left Of Me, Stuck In The Middle With (Almost) No Jews

A disclaimer. Firstly this is "in the family"  (last time I look I was still circumcised) so forget the "you're an anti-Semite" rants. Secondly, I have been accused of being many things (including lacking married parents)  and often of being "an elitist narcissist" which I take as somewhat of a compliment (perhaps confirming the taunt) but 'self-hating" clearly not.

I set out what I consider to be the explanation as to why so many journalists are Jewish but also why they run the gamut from liberal to far left "progressive" and beyond (using Dana Milbank as an obvious example)

"Trump Is Dana Milbank's Yiddish Rant "Golem" Target And "Primal Scream" Therapy" LINK

Briefly I set out that a family background with "tales told on Granddad's knee"  of the very real history of persecution "in the old country" colors and cements a leftist state of mind. Damn the Czar for all that mishegash. This not limited to Jews of course, Armenian's have an abiding folk history of their persecution by the Turk's.

The list of Jewish leftist pundit's is seeming endless Milbank, "Stewart" Schoenkopf, Berman, Klein.E, Klein J, Bernstein, Krugman, Scherer, Silver, Goldberg, Levin and on and on the list goes (see at the link). Anyone who says the media is not biased left is blinkered or a blinkered fool.

But is their any hope for balance from any Jewish writers who have gone the Milton Friedman route and escaped off the reservation? Actually Friedman is not the best example of solace and a modicum of balance as he went so far to the other direction in his espousing of an almost anarchistic libertarianism.

So are there Jewish pundits who Trump voters can look to to find support for a populist center-right view (i.e. the majority Republican view in 2016)? Apparently not in any number.

The non-leftist Jewish pundits have gone off in to aping what they see as the Beltway white bread elite and turn their collective noses up at the ordinary flyover country Republican's who, as David Brooks freely admitted, they have no inter-action nor communication with, and who they don't understand.

So we have Brooks, Kristol, Jennifer Rubin, Ben Shapiro, Podhoretz, Krauthammer, Frum and the list goes on and on, (but very briefly in comparison to the lib's list) Trump and/or Palin haters all.

Jews as a group are slowly but surely leaving the captive arms of the Democratic party and hopefully, as memories of oppression fade and, as with all immigrant groups, age and prosperity will move American Jews to the center in political voting and punditry and the baleful influence of the "JournOlist" conspiracy will end.

In the meantime Trump supporters appear have only Michael Savage, Matt Drudge, 

Jackie Mason  (blessings be upon them) and, and here's that narcissism again, myself (and with apologies to any center-right Jew's I have not mentioned) for balance.

Two Memes Exploded In One Day. "Georgia In Play for Dem's" "Libertarian's Doom Trump"

The media continue on their path of being 100% wrong about Donald Trump's candidacy. Since his nomination was assured for them to continue on this path shows either utterly recalcitrant pique or slavish bending over for their paymasters.

In either case,shame on them, that is of course unless they are, in their entirety, utterly stupid which is a possibility.

One of the current memes is that Donald trump is so unpopular, so undetectable and so inferior to Hillary as a candidate that what were previously safe red states are now in play for Hillary's "50 state landslide"

One of these states the media pundits gleefully pointed to was Georgia whose "large Black vote,changing demographics as northerners move into the state and Hispanic opposition to Trump makes Georgia a prime target for Hillary."

So today we have a poll from the Democratic association pollster PPP Polling and it shows.....

Trump by 9 points ! In 2012 Romney won Georgia by 7.82 points  

Romney 53.30%

Obama  45.48%

"Trump also leads 37/30 with independents, "

In Michigan a state that should be solid for Clinton she leads by only 4 points 43% to 39% in a state that President  Obama won by nearly 10 points over Romney in 2012 Clinton has declined 11 points from Obama's result Trump down 5 from Romney. Her unpopularity clearly exceeds hers.

Obama 54.21%

Romney 44.71%

As far as the "Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson will take enough votes from Trump to ensure Clinton wins in the key battleground states meme goes we see another story.

In the head to head Clinton/Trump polls Quinnipiac has Clinton by 4 points 45 to 41. If Gary Johnson (5) is added into the mix along with the Green's Jill Stein (3) it is Clinton 40 Trump 38 
Clinton by 4 points. So of the 8% allocated to Johnson/Stein (whom the anti-Trump media conveniently forget) Clinton loses 5 points and Trump 3.

In Georgia Trump loses 4 and Clinton 2 well within the margin or error but making no difference to the Trump victory. 

NB; PPP Polling can't help themselves. RCP reports their Georgia poll as Trump
49% Clinton 40% Trump + 9 but on PPP home page they report;

Geography	Most Recent PPP Poll	2012 Results
Georgia	Trump +7 (45% Clinton 38%)	Romney +8

Astounding, Unprecedented State Polls For Trump Indicate Landslide

NBC/Survey Monkey national poll today is excellent for Donald Trump as it shows him slowly but steadily erasing Hillary's once substantial leads not only head to head but also in the voters perception of who will win in November.

New NBC poll participants Dem's 33% GOP 28% Indies 37% .May 8th Hillary +5 May 29th +2 Trump closing.

NBC poll participants Dem's 33% GOP 28% Indies 37% Expectations "Who will win"May 9 Hillary+8 May 20 +1 Significant result "perception is reality"

But it in the state polls where the really striking results have come.Bear in mind to that state polls lag the nationwide ones so these results presage an even better one for Trump down the line.

PPIC

5/13 - 5/22

996 Likely Voters 

                                               Clinton     Trump

49

39

Clinton +10

In 2012 Romney lost New Hampshire by 5.5 points       46%  to  52%  

                                 New Jersey                 18 points        40%  to   58%

                                 California                     23 points         37%  to    60%

                                 Oregon                        12 points        42%  to   54%

When the Oregon poll came out yesterday I thought it was an outlier but these three new polls confirm the trend, Obviously if these results hold in November Trump would be looking like a landslide winner in the electoral college as the marginal states like Florida/Ohio/Pennsylvania would fall to him easily. Polls in those states are looked to with much interest.

Franklin Pierce-Herald poll shows tight NH race, trouble for Clinton      LINK

Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are deadlocked in the swing state of New Hampshire, , a new Franklin Pierce University-Boston Herald poll reveals.

Clinton and Trump are both getting 44 percent of the vote in a general-election matchup yet just only a third of all voters have a favorable view of the two likely presidential nominees, according to the new poll.

The poll should cause some concern among Democrats who have counted on New Hampshire’s four electoral votes for the past three elections.

Clinton’s unpopularity in the Granite State is making the race a tossup in a state where Republicans now hold only one major statewide office.

Just 35 percent of likely New Hampshire voters rate the former secretary of state favorably while 61 percent say they have an unfavorable view of her, according to the Franklin Pierce-Herald poll.

If GOP Had Got Behind Palin Instead Of Romney They Wouldn't Be Sweating Trump

Palin didn't run in 2012 because she didn't have the money personally or from the big establishment financial backers. Instead the GOP establishment in their "wisdom" got behind Romney, a candidate so weak that he spent most of the primaries trying to head off Rick Santorum for goodness sake.

That Romney was such a poor candidate was proven by his selection of Paul Ryan who ran the most invisible vice-presidential campaign I have ever seen. Ryan suffered the embarrassment (as did all Republicans who watched it) by being mercilessly clobbered by Joe Biden in their one sided debate.

Romney went on to throw away his opening debate performance, or rather Obama's mysteriously weak performance, by running a listless and forgettable campaign bolstered by Karl Rove's poll mirages.

It is quite likely that Palin would have lost if she had received the GOP's backing as a sitting president is very difficult to defeat. But she would have fought a dogged campaign with energized voters which would have done the GOP a great favor. This was proven by her efforts on behalf of the Tea Party and the numerous candidates she endorsed and stumped for who owe their elections to her.

In such a scenario the world would be an utterly different place for the Republican establishment this year. There is little doubt that Romney would be the 2016 candidate, probably unopposed, as it would be "his turn" and the establishment and their media enablers would say "OK the conservatives had their turn and lost so it is now time for the traditional centrist approach and etc."

But they didn't, and they now have Trump and could have had Cruz.

If they hadn't been such elitist blockheads not only could they have avoided the 2012 disaster for their clique. If they had encouraged and supported Palin in 2015/6 and she announced a run,Trump would most likely not have run as he had clearly indicated his support for her. Her (crucial) endorsement of him and his ongoing public thanks to her clearly show as much.

A Palin run would have been indebted to the establishment machine and the financial backers and would not have the total independence that Trump has. Further Palin would have brought the conservative element unconditionally and obviously would have negated the Hillary "woman's card" nonsensical but obvious appeal to a segment of women.

There is only one group responsible for Romney's 2012 loss and Trump's 2016 rise and that is the shortsighted, elitist, arrogant Republican establishment whose disdainful and undercutting treatment of Palin has brought them to this well deserved place of submission to Trump.

Massive Move To Trump,Huge Hillary Fall In Formerly Safe And Marginal Democratic States

As Donald Trump moves into a virtual tie or lead, well within the margin of error, in head to head polling against Hillary Clinton the state polls, which usually lag the nationwide polls are starting to move to him as well.

North Carolina is a good example;

Trump's 4 point lead is a striking 6 point turnaround from March and the obvious conclusion is that the trendline to Trump points to a substantial improvement in North Carolina for Trump over what Romney got, and if that is translated into the entire country then Florida/Ohio/Virginia and even Pennsylvania are in play for Trump."

North Carolina was a marginal Romney win but what is unique in this polling season is the massive, there is no other word for it, drop in Hillary's vote and/or a concomitant rise in Trump's in Democratic strongholds.

In two polls for California in May (which don't entirely capture the full move to Trump via Republican consolidation) Hillary leads by either 12 or 14 points.

In 2012 President Obama won California by a massive 23 points. Trump is equaling Romney (and again this does nto reflect the full force of the movmeent to him yet) but Hillary has dropped between 8 and 11 points.

This is mirrored in New Jersey where the 2012 result was Obama 58% Romney 40% a 13 point decline for Hillary via Quinnipiac.

A tie in Virginia at 38% each (2012 Obama by 4 points. In crucial Ohio the RCP average is Hillary by 1.4 points (2012 Obama by 3 points)
and in Pennsylvania Clinton by 1 via Qinnipiac (2012 Obama by 5.5 points).

May is not predictive of November necessarily, especially in nationwide head to head polls ask President Dukakis, however such massive drop in Clinton's polling in safe and marginal Dem states must be a concern for the DNC.

Via StatesPoll.com the current state by state analysis has Trump leading in the Electoral College-which is all that matters in November.