According to the Pollster.com table the average of the three most recent Likely Voters polls has Sarah Palin at 47% Favorable to 49% Unfavorable.The most recent poll has her at 49/50.
Likely Voters Favorable Unfavorable
AP-Gfk
10-13-18 846 LV 49 50
GWU/Politico (Lake/Tarrance)
9/19-22/10 1000 LV 44 49
Rasmussen
9/18-19/10 1000 LV 48 49
There are two major points here. Firstly her unfavorable ratings have dipped below the all important 50% mark. Secondly there is an unmistakable upwards trend line amongst likely voters.The average of the previous analysis of these three polls was favorable 44 unfavorable 50 (as set out in the Pollster table) with an 8 point jump upwards in the AP-GfK poll since August 2010.
If this seemingly inexorable trend continues Palin will be in favorable territory well before the 2012 presidential election. I have dealt with the, in some cases, ridiculously slanted "all Voters" television network polls previously.
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