The highly regarded election analysis site Electoral-Vote.com has a daily update of the current polling results in each state as regards the Electoral College results are on the day. They assign a state to either President Obama or Mitt Romney based on the latest polls. Since the site has been running they have been wrong as to the final result, and that very narrowly in 2004 so their methodology must have some merit.
If the site is viewed AT THIS LINK it can be seen that, based on current polling President Obama has a massive 126 Electoral College (where it counts) lead over Romney. If a mouse is hovered over each state it brings up the latest poll from the state plus the history of the final results from the previous five elections.
In the case of the battleground states for 2012 the surprising result, surprising in the face of the huge media beat up of the McCain/Palin teams result, shows that in every case Romney is polling at best even with McCain/Palin's final
McCAIN ROMNEY
FLORIDA
49%
43%
NORTH
CAROLINA 49%
48%
COLORADO
45%
44%
NEVADA
43%
42%
OHIO
47%
45%
MISSOURI
49%
48%
MINNESOTA
44%
40%
INDIANA
49%
48%
PENNSYLVANIA
44%
44%
NEW
HAMPSHIRE 45%
45%
Romney
is doing better than McCain/Palin in Wisconsin and Michigan but it is
unlikely that will mean anything in November
as President Obama is likely to win them again.
No comments:
Post a Comment