With
the smart money at
Intrade having Mitt Romney at a 40.3 % chance of being
elected this November, and the Electoral College polling showing him
a massive 126
EV votes behind President Obama, the jockeying for 2016 is
well under way.
Beltway pundits
have explained away the weak GOP primary field as being the second
tier having a go at the "next in line" Romney. Really,
apart from the media having to pump them up to create reader interest
in the slow season, who would have given the likes of Santorum, Cain,
Bachman, Paul any realistic chance of getting the nomination?
Pawlenty
was the Beltway pick, but he proved utterly hopeless on the
campaign trail right out of the blocks.
In reality, when
Palin, Christie, Daniels,Bush and Pence decided not to run,
and Gingrich ran out of money only Rick Perry had
a reasonable chance, but when he imploded that was the end
of matters.
Realistically
to unseat a sitting president a campaign needs to run on immense
luck. With outside the norm events like a massive depression,
Americans being taken hostage and an ensuing failed rescue attempt, a
major war or massive scandal being game changers. None of those
events are in play except, perhaps, the economic one and even
there President Obama still has some degree of the benefit
of the doubt.
It
is no surprise that prospective GOP candidates for 2016 are looking
down the track, but it is perhaps a bit surprising that they would do
so openly even before Romney is nominated! On the other
hand, for Christie to make noises in that direction is indicative of
his personality.
It
is why he will be the keynote speaker at the forthcoming
convention and is why he probably won't get the 2016 nomination as he
may be destroyed by his own outspokenness. An
excellent spearhead vice-presidential nominee in 2016 by the way
for exactly those qualities.
Here
is Christie response
to the 2016 question from Yahoo. Sarah Palin
has indicated some time ago that the door
is open for 2016 and Jeb Bush who "hasn't ruled a 2016 runout" is openly touted by the
establishment wing. Basically there are less than four months before
the 2016 GOP campaign commences.
Chris Christie said Wednesday he would "certainly think about running" for president four years from now if Mitt Romney does not win in November, the Associated Press reports.
The popular New Jersey Republican governor resisted pressure to seek the Republican presidential nomination last year, but 2016 is in his sights.
"If there's an opportunity for me to serve in another capacity and I think I have something to add to the mix, I don't think I'd back away from it," he said, according to the AP.
It is rumored that Christie could be given a keynote speaking opportunity at the Republican convention in August.
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