Friday, September 9, 2011

Palin/Romney/Perry Within 4 Points Of Each Vs. Obama In N. Carolina

Further to my previous post (below) which showed President Obama trailing Sarah Palin by 14 points amongst Independents in North Carolina I made the point that such results go unremarked on by the MSM.

This is because it doesn't fit their "Palin is irrelevant" motif.

Delving deeper into the PPP Poll figures Palin is within two points of Romney's figures against Obama and within four points of candidate of the month Perry. Of course this is despite the continuing barrage of Palin hate from the left, and the obvious fact that she is achieving these figures without having declared as a candidate. 

It is an historical fact that when a president is under 50% in the polls the undecided vote tends to go substantially to the challenger. With Palin on 42% if the bulk of the 9% undecided went to her she would be at or near parity with President Obama.


"Obama trails Palin by 14 with independents in North Carolina, that's when you know you're having a bad month."

Even the Daily Kos Pollster Shows that Governor Palin Has Turned an 18-Point Deficit Among NC Independents Into a 14-Point Lead in One Month/Open Thread

Palin 51
Obama 38

Obama 53Palin 38

The media continues its "unelectable" campaign against Palin and the GOP establishment including those media personalities who have chosen their favorites e.g. Coulter who has swooned for Christie have switched into all out attack mode against her.

What goes unremarked upon was Palin's solid third place at 14% in the Washington Post /ABC poll-when she is not even a declared candidate and Perry  has received the star treatment.

Digging down further into where the statistics can't lie, because they are an aggregate of polls, the 
Real Clear Politics aggregate of Palin versus Obama belies all the negativity directed against her as the unmistakable trendline below shows:

Further, as this compilation of recent polls shows Palin's 41% in the ABC poll is her highest rating with smallest gap between her and Obama since November 2010. The Rasmussen poll distorts the aggregate because they measure likely voters but even here the result is striking with Palin having closed the gap by 5 points in under a month with President Obama being below the 50% mark against her for the first time since March

Polling Data

PollDateSampleObama (D)Palin (R)Spread
RCP Average8/5 - 9/1--51.838.8Obama +13.0
ABC News/Wash Post8/29 - 9/1RV5341Obama +12
Rasmussen Reports8/31 - 9/11000 LV4735Obama +12
Quinnipiac8/16 - 8/272730 RV5137Obama +14
PPP (D)8/18 - 8/21700 RV5340Obama +13
Rasmussen Reports8/11 - 8/121000 LV5033Obama +17

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